United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 61%
ニューピープル（NL） 30.6%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 3.0%
$8,254,241 Vol.
$8,254,241 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
61%
ニューピープル（NL）
31%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
6%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
3%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
1%
ロジーナ
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 61%
ニューピープル（NL） 30.6%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 3.0%
$8,254,241 Vol.
$8,254,241 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
$2,154,265 Vol.
61%
ニューピープル（NL）
$1,064,572 Vol.
31%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,276,751 Vol.
6%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$658,279 Vol.
3%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
$574,590 Vol.
1%
ロジーナ
$942,708 Vol.
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
$583,210 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$8,254,241終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$8,254,241終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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