Ongoing stalemate in U.S.-mediated Russia-Ukraine talks, including Zelenskyy's mid-August 2026 submission of new peace proposals without reported Russian acceptance or scheduling of direct leader-level engagement, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by August 31. Russia has repeatedly stated that any bilateral agenda remains unprepared, consistent with positions after earlier 2026 trilateral rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva that produced no breakthrough on territory or security guarantees. With just two weeks remaining and no verified diplomatic signals or announcements of an imminent summit, the 99.5% probability reflects the absence of catalysts for rapid alignment. A late U.S.-brokered compromise or unexpected shift in Moscow's stance could still enable a meeting before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
<1% 確率
$74,369 Vol.
$74,369 Vol.
2026/08/31
はい
<1% 確率
$74,369 Vol.
$74,369 Vol.
2026/08/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing stalemate in U.S.-mediated Russia-Ukraine talks, including Zelenskyy's mid-August 2026 submission of new peace proposals without reported Russian acceptance or scheduling of direct leader-level engagement, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by August 31. Russia has repeatedly stated that any bilateral agenda remains unprepared, consistent with positions after earlier 2026 trilateral rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva that produced no breakthrough on territory or security guarantees. With just two weeks remaining and no verified diplomatic signals or announcements of an imminent summit, the 99.5% probability reflects the absence of catalysts for rapid alignment. A late U.S.-brokered compromise or unexpected shift in Moscow's stance could still enable a meeting before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
音量
$74,369終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing stalemate in U.S.-mediated Russia-Ukraine talks, including Zelenskyy's mid-August 2026 submission of new peace proposals without reported Russian acceptance or scheduling of direct leader-level engagement, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by August 31. Russia has repeatedly stated that any bilateral agenda remains unprepared, consistent with positions after earlier 2026 trilateral rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva that produced no breakthrough on territory or security guarantees. With just two weeks remaining and no verified diplomatic signals or announcements of an imminent summit, the 99.5% probability reflects the absence of catalysts for rapid alignment. A late U.S.-brokered compromise or unexpected shift in Moscow's stance could still enable a meeting before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$74,369終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing stalemate in U.S.-mediated Russia-Ukraine talks, including Zelenskyy's mid-August 2026 submission of new peace proposals without reported Russian acceptance or scheduling of direct leader-level engagement, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by August 31. Russia has repeatedly stated that any bilateral agenda remains unprepared, consistent with positions after earlier 2026 trilateral rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva that produced no breakthrough on territory or security guarantees. With just two weeks remaining and no verified diplomatic signals or announcements of an imminent summit, the 99.5% probability reflects the absence of catalysts for rapid alignment. A late U.S.-brokered compromise or unexpected shift in Moscow's stance could still enable a meeting before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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