Republicans currently hold a 53-45 Senate majority, yet Majority Leader John Thune has stated multiple times that the caucus lacks the internal votes needed to invoke the nuclear option against the legislative filibuster. President Trump has pressed for the change to clear stalled bills, but several GOP senators continue to oppose altering the 60-vote threshold for legislation. Recent procedural adjustments have instead targeted nomination confirmations in batches, following earlier precedents set in 2013, 2017, and 2025. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter the chamber’s balance and incentives, while historical patterns show majority parties typically retain the filibuster to protect minority rights and long-term institutional leverage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$560,734 Vol.
2026/03/30
2026年12月31日
6%
$560,734 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$5,773 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans currently hold a 53-45 Senate majority, yet Majority Leader John Thune has stated multiple times that the caucus lacks the internal votes needed to invoke the nuclear option against the legislative filibuster. President Trump has pressed for the change to clear stalled bills, but several GOP senators continue to oppose altering the 60-vote threshold for legislation. Recent procedural adjustments have instead targeted nomination confirmations in batches, following earlier precedents set in 2013, 2017, and 2025. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter the chamber’s balance and incentives, while historical patterns show majority parties typically retain the filibuster to protect minority rights and long-term institutional leverage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
マーケット開始日： Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$560,734終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans currently hold a 53-45 Senate majority, yet Majority Leader John Thune has stated multiple times that the caucus lacks the internal votes needed to invoke the nuclear option against the legislative filibuster. President Trump has pressed for the change to clear stalled bills, but several GOP senators continue to oppose altering the 60-vote threshold for legislation. Recent procedural adjustments have instead targeted nomination confirmations in batches, following earlier precedents set in 2013, 2017, and 2025. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter the chamber’s balance and incentives, while historical patterns show majority parties typically retain the filibuster to protect minority rights and long-term institutional leverage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
音量
$560,734終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Republicans currently hold a 53-45 Senate majority, yet Majority Leader John Thune has stated multiple times that the caucus lacks the internal votes needed to invoke the nuclear option against the legislative filibuster. President Trump has pressed for the change to clear stalled bills, but several GOP senators continue to oppose altering the 60-vote threshold for legislation. Recent procedural adjustments have instead targeted nomination confirmations in batches, following earlier precedents set in 2013, 2017, and 2025. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter the chamber’s balance and incentives, while historical patterns show majority parties typically retain the filibuster to protect minority rights and long-term institutional leverage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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