Republicans hold a 53-seat Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune amid a divided Congress and President Trump’s second term. Trader sentiment centers on whether the slim GOP edge will prompt invocation of the nuclear option to lower the 60-vote cloture threshold for legislation, after the party already used the procedure in 2025 to enable en bloc confirmation of subcabinet and ambassador nominees. Trump has repeatedly urged elimination of the filibuster to advance stalled priorities including appropriations, defense funding, and Iran-related measures, while internal Senate resistance remains high; Thune has noted roughly half or fewer Republicans support full repeal, citing long-term risks if Democrats regain control. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any lame-duck session create near-term pressure points that could shift the balance on rules changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$560,734 Vol.
2026/03/30
2026年12月31日
6%
$560,734 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$5,773 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-seat Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune amid a divided Congress and President Trump’s second term. Trader sentiment centers on whether the slim GOP edge will prompt invocation of the nuclear option to lower the 60-vote cloture threshold for legislation, after the party already used the procedure in 2025 to enable en bloc confirmation of subcabinet and ambassador nominees. Trump has repeatedly urged elimination of the filibuster to advance stalled priorities including appropriations, defense funding, and Iran-related measures, while internal Senate resistance remains high; Thune has noted roughly half or fewer Republicans support full repeal, citing long-term risks if Democrats regain control. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any lame-duck session create near-term pressure points that could shift the balance on rules changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
マーケット開始日： Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$560,734終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-seat Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune amid a divided Congress and President Trump’s second term. Trader sentiment centers on whether the slim GOP edge will prompt invocation of the nuclear option to lower the 60-vote cloture threshold for legislation, after the party already used the procedure in 2025 to enable en bloc confirmation of subcabinet and ambassador nominees. Trump has repeatedly urged elimination of the filibuster to advance stalled priorities including appropriations, defense funding, and Iran-related measures, while internal Senate resistance remains high; Thune has noted roughly half or fewer Republicans support full repeal, citing long-term risks if Democrats regain control. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any lame-duck session create near-term pressure points that could shift the balance on rules changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
音量
$560,734終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Republicans hold a 53-seat Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune amid a divided Congress and President Trump’s second term. Trader sentiment centers on whether the slim GOP edge will prompt invocation of the nuclear option to lower the 60-vote cloture threshold for legislation, after the party already used the procedure in 2025 to enable en bloc confirmation of subcabinet and ambassador nominees. Trump has repeatedly urged elimination of the filibuster to advance stalled priorities including appropriations, defense funding, and Iran-related measures, while internal Senate resistance remains high; Thune has noted roughly half or fewer Republicans support full repeal, citing long-term risks if Democrats regain control. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any lame-duck session create near-term pressure points that could shift the balance on rules changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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