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Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

$41,341 Vol.

2026/05/31
Polymarket

$41,341 Vol.

Polymarket

May 22

$28,127 Vol.

70%

May 31

$7,593 Vol.

81%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Senate Republicans advanced a fiscal year 2026 budget resolution in late April that directs the Judiciary and Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs committees to produce reconciliation legislation providing up to $70 billion each in deficit-increasing spending, primarily for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection. Committees released draft text in early May totaling roughly $72 billion in new appropriations that can be obligated through 2029, with markups scheduled for the week of May 19 and leadership targeting final Senate passage by June 1. The process allows the measure to clear the chamber with a simple majority under expedited rules that limit amendments and preclude a filibuster. House action and conference negotiations remain ahead before the package could reach the president.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$41,341
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Senate Republicans advanced a fiscal year 2026 budget resolution in late April that directs the Judiciary and Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs committees to produce reconciliation legislation providing up to $70 billion each in deficit-increasing spending, primarily for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection. Committees released draft text in early May totaling roughly $72 billion in new appropriations that can be obligated through 2029, with markups scheduled for the week of May 19 and leadership targeting final Senate passage by June 1. The process allows the measure to clear the chamber with a simple majority under expedited rules that limit amendments and preclude a filibuster. House action and conference negotiations remain ahead before the package could reach the president.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$41,341
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「May 31」で81%、次いで「May 22」が70%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、81¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に81%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?」は$41.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 4, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「May 31」で81%であり、市場がこの結果に81%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「May 22」で70%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。