The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to lower the top rate or index gains for inflation have remained in internal debate without reaching a floor vote, as party leaders prioritize other measures and navigate divisions ahead of the November 2026 midterms. With the legislative calendar now compressed through the end of 2026, traders view additional capital gains relief as unlikely to advance before the 2027 deadline, producing the current 70.5 percent implied probability on No.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to lower the top rate or index gains for inflation have remained in internal debate without reaching a floor vote, as party leaders prioritize other measures and navigate divisions ahead of the November 2026 midterms. With the legislative calendar now compressed through the end of 2026, traders view additional capital gains relief as unlikely to advance before the 2027 deadline, producing the current 70.5 percent implied probability on No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$1,576終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to lower the top rate or index gains for inflation have remained in internal debate without reaching a floor vote, as party leaders prioritize other measures and navigate divisions ahead of the November 2026 midterms. With the legislative calendar now compressed through the end of 2026, traders view additional capital gains relief as unlikely to advance before the 2027 deadline, producing the current 70.5 percent implied probability on No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,576終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to lower the top rate or index gains for inflation have remained in internal debate without reaching a floor vote, as party leaders prioritize other measures and navigate divisions ahead of the November 2026 midterms. With the legislative calendar now compressed through the end of 2026, traders view additional capital gains relief as unlikely to advance before the 2027 deadline, producing the current 70.5 percent implied probability on No.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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