Recent discussions in August 2026 show Trump administration officials weighing targeted capital gains adjustments, including inflation indexing and expanded primary home sale exclusions, as potential midterm messaging ahead of November elections. These ideas, floated by National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett and Larry Kudlow, remain exploratory proposals without introduced legislation or congressional votes. The One Big Beautiful Bill enacted in 2025 extended TCJA provisions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. Tight legislative timelines, competing priorities, and the need for congressional majorities make a rate reduction before 2027 unlikely in traders’ assessment, even as narrower exemptions receive bipartisan interest in some quarters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
9% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/30
はい
9% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent discussions in August 2026 show Trump administration officials weighing targeted capital gains adjustments, including inflation indexing and expanded primary home sale exclusions, as potential midterm messaging ahead of November elections. These ideas, floated by National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett and Larry Kudlow, remain exploratory proposals without introduced legislation or congressional votes. The One Big Beautiful Bill enacted in 2025 extended TCJA provisions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. Tight legislative timelines, competing priorities, and the need for congressional majorities make a rate reduction before 2027 unlikely in traders’ assessment, even as narrower exemptions receive bipartisan interest in some quarters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$2,141終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent discussions in August 2026 show Trump administration officials weighing targeted capital gains adjustments, including inflation indexing and expanded primary home sale exclusions, as potential midterm messaging ahead of November elections. These ideas, floated by National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett and Larry Kudlow, remain exploratory proposals without introduced legislation or congressional votes. The One Big Beautiful Bill enacted in 2025 extended TCJA provisions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. Tight legislative timelines, competing priorities, and the need for congressional majorities make a rate reduction before 2027 unlikely in traders’ assessment, even as narrower exemptions receive bipartisan interest in some quarters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$2,141終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent discussions in August 2026 show Trump administration officials weighing targeted capital gains adjustments, including inflation indexing and expanded primary home sale exclusions, as potential midterm messaging ahead of November elections. These ideas, floated by National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett and Larry Kudlow, remain exploratory proposals without introduced legislation or congressional votes. The One Big Beautiful Bill enacted in 2025 extended TCJA provisions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. Tight legislative timelines, competing priorities, and the need for congressional majorities make a rate reduction before 2027 unlikely in traders’ assessment, even as narrower exemptions receive bipartisan interest in some quarters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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