Diplomatic momentum from the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing has anchored trader consensus on a Yes outcome, with the Chinese leader formally invited for a September 24 state visit to Washington. Multiple confirmations from U.S. officials, including preparations tied to G20 and APEC hosting roles, reinforce expectations that the trip will occur well before the 2027 deadline. Ongoing bilateral talks on trade, technology, and strategic stability have sustained this trajectory despite periodic frictions. Even at 95.5% implied probability, markets remain sensitive to late disruptions such as acute escalations over Taiwan, abrupt policy shifts, or health-related cancellations that could derail the scheduled engagement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
96% 確率
$636,305 Vol.
$636,305 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
96% 確率
$636,305 Vol.
$636,305 Vol.
2026/12/31
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum from the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing has anchored trader consensus on a Yes outcome, with the Chinese leader formally invited for a September 24 state visit to Washington. Multiple confirmations from U.S. officials, including preparations tied to G20 and APEC hosting roles, reinforce expectations that the trip will occur well before the 2027 deadline. Ongoing bilateral talks on trade, technology, and strategic stability have sustained this trajectory despite periodic frictions. Even at 95.5% implied probability, markets remain sensitive to late disruptions such as acute escalations over Taiwan, abrupt policy shifts, or health-related cancellations that could derail the scheduled engagement.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
音量
$636,305終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum from the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing has anchored trader consensus on a Yes outcome, with the Chinese leader formally invited for a September 24 state visit to Washington. Multiple confirmations from U.S. officials, including preparations tied to G20 and APEC hosting roles, reinforce expectations that the trip will occur well before the 2027 deadline. Ongoing bilateral talks on trade, technology, and strategic stability have sustained this trajectory despite periodic frictions. Even at 95.5% implied probability, markets remain sensitive to late disruptions such as acute escalations over Taiwan, abrupt policy shifts, or health-related cancellations that could derail the scheduled engagement.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$636,305終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic momentum from the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing has anchored trader consensus on a Yes outcome, with the Chinese leader formally invited for a September 24 state visit to Washington. Multiple confirmations from U.S. officials, including preparations tied to G20 and APEC hosting roles, reinforce expectations that the trip will occur well before the 2027 deadline. Ongoing bilateral talks on trade, technology, and strategic stability have sustained this trajectory despite periodic frictions. Even at 95.5% implied probability, markets remain sensitive to late disruptions such as acute escalations over Taiwan, abrupt policy shifts, or health-related cancellations that could derail the scheduled engagement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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