Recent bilateral diplomacy has positioned a 2026 U.S. visit by Xi Jinping as the leading scenario among traders. During President Trump's May 2026 state visit to Beijing, the two leaders held summit talks focused on trade stabilization, strategic competition, and regional security, after which Trump extended a formal invitation for Xi to visit the White House in the fall and potentially attend the December G20 summit in Miami. Chinese officials promptly confirmed acceptance of the reciprocal trip, framing 2026 as a landmark year for constructive stability in relations. These explicit commitments and advance planning, set against historical patterns of mutual leader visits following major summits, underpin the 90.5% implied probability for a pre-2027 arrival. Late adjustments remain possible if tensions over Taiwan or economic issues escalate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$219,866 Vol.
$219,866 Vol.
はい
$219,866 Vol.
$219,866 Vol.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent bilateral diplomacy has positioned a 2026 U.S. visit by Xi Jinping as the leading scenario among traders. During President Trump's May 2026 state visit to Beijing, the two leaders held summit talks focused on trade stabilization, strategic competition, and regional security, after which Trump extended a formal invitation for Xi to visit the White House in the fall and potentially attend the December G20 summit in Miami. Chinese officials promptly confirmed acceptance of the reciprocal trip, framing 2026 as a landmark year for constructive stability in relations. These explicit commitments and advance planning, set against historical patterns of mutual leader visits following major summits, underpin the 90.5% implied probability for a pre-2027 arrival. Late adjustments remain possible if tensions over Taiwan or economic issues escalate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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