Ongoing military operations and diplomatic engagements in the Russia-Ukraine conflict continue to shape posting patterns on Zelenskyy’s official X account. Recent strikes on Russian targets, coordination with European leaders such as France, and monitoring of potential Belarusian involvement have generated multiple daily updates since May 15. Trader consensus places the highest probabilities on the 80-99 and 60-79 brackets because these volumes align with Zelenskyy’s established pace during active phases of the war. Developments that could widen the range include breakthroughs in ceasefire discussions or major escalations requiring extended commentary, while quieter periods on the front lines might pull totals lower. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many additional posts will address evolving security and alliance matters before May 22.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日80〜99 42%
60〜79 39%
100~119 10%
40〜59 4.3%
20未満
<1%
20~39
1%
40〜59
4%
60〜79
40%
80〜99
42%
100~119
10%
120~139
1%
140~159
1%
160〜179
1%
180〜199
1%
200以上
<1%
80〜99 42%
60〜79 39%
100~119 10%
40〜59 4.3%
20未満
<1%
20~39
1%
40〜59
4%
60〜79
40%
80〜99
42%
100~119
10%
120~139
1%
140~159
1%
160〜179
1%
180〜199
1%
200以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing military operations and diplomatic engagements in the Russia-Ukraine conflict continue to shape posting patterns on Zelenskyy’s official X account. Recent strikes on Russian targets, coordination with European leaders such as France, and monitoring of potential Belarusian involvement have generated multiple daily updates since May 15. Trader consensus places the highest probabilities on the 80-99 and 60-79 brackets because these volumes align with Zelenskyy’s established pace during active phases of the war. Developments that could widen the range include breakthroughs in ceasefire discussions or major escalations requiring extended commentary, while quieter periods on the front lines might pull totals lower. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many additional posts will address evolving security and alliance matters before May 22.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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