Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) leads the top-two primary for California's 22nd Congressional District at 44% in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6, 517 likely voters), ahead of Democratic challengers Randy Villegas (25%) and Jasmeet Bains (21%), with 10% undecided, driving trader consensus toward his advancement on June 2. The Central Valley battleground favors Valadao's incumbency and fundraising edge ($2.9 million cash-on-hand), while Democrats split between Bains's moderate physician background and Villegas's progressive profile backed by Bernie Sanders and unions. Early voting is underway in this low-turnout primary, where consolidation among Democratic voters could tip the second spot amid toss-up general election ratings from Cook Political Report and others.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.06.02
David Valadao
98%
Randy Villegas
37%
Chris Mathys
14%
Rudy Salas
5%
Jasmeet Bains
54%
$1,847 거래량
David Valadao
$417 거래량
98%
Randy Villegas
$473 거래량
37%
Chris Mathys
$544 거래량
14%
Rudy Salas
$335 거래량
5%
Jasmeet Bains
$78 거래량
54%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) leads the top-two primary for California's 22nd Congressional District at 44% in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6, 517 likely voters), ahead of Democratic challengers Randy Villegas (25%) and Jasmeet Bains (21%), with 10% undecided, driving trader consensus toward his advancement on June 2. The Central Valley battleground favors Valadao's incumbency and fundraising edge ($2.9 million cash-on-hand), while Democrats split between Bains's moderate physician background and Villegas's progressive profile backed by Bernie Sanders and unions. Early voting is underway in this low-turnout primary, where consolidation among Democratic voters could tip the second spot amid toss-up general election ratings from Cook Political Report and others.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET
거래량
$1,847종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) leads the top-two primary for California's 22nd Congressional District at 44% in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6, 517 likely voters), ahead of Democratic challengers Randy Villegas (25%) and Jasmeet Bains (21%), with 10% undecided, driving trader consensus toward his advancement on June 2. The Central Valley battleground favors Valadao's incumbency and fundraising edge ($2.9 million cash-on-hand), while Democrats split between Bains's moderate physician background and Villegas's progressive profile backed by Bernie Sanders and unions. Early voting is underway in this low-turnout primary, where consolidation among Democratic voters could tip the second spot amid toss-up general election ratings from Cook Political Report and others.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$1,847종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) leads the top-two primary for California's 22nd Congressional District at 44% in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6, 517 likely voters), ahead of Democratic challengers Randy Villegas (25%) and Jasmeet Bains (21%), with 10% undecided, driving trader consensus toward his advancement on June 2. The Central Valley battleground favors Valadao's incumbency and fundraising edge ($2.9 million cash-on-hand), while Democrats split between Bains's moderate physician background and Villegas's progressive profile backed by Bernie Sanders and unions. Early voting is underway in this low-turnout primary, where consolidation among Democratic voters could tip the second spot amid toss-up general election ratings from Cook Political Report and others.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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