The May 2026 Core CPI year-over-year release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reported today at 8:30 a.m. ET, came in precisely at 2.9 percent and aligned with economist forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. This figure marked a 0.1 percentage point increase from April’s 2.8 percent print, reflecting contributions from shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care amid a 0.2 percent month-over-month core gain. With the official data now available and matching consensus expectations, trader positioning reflects near-certainty based on the verified release rather than forward-looking estimates. Any post-release revisions or alternative data interpretations remain the only realistic, albeit low-probability, factors that could influence residual market activity before full resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2.9% 100.0%
≤2.4% <1%
2.5% <1%
2.6% <1%
$13,765 거래량
$13,765 거래량
2026.06.10
≤2.4%
No
2.5%
No
2.6%
No
2.7%
No
2.8%
No
2.9%
Yes
3.0%
No
3.1%
No
3.2%
No
≥3.3%
No
2.9% 100.0%
≤2.4% <1%
2.5% <1%
2.6% <1%
$13,765 거래량
$13,765 거래량
2026.06.10
≤2.4%
$713 거래량
No
2.5%
$359 거래량
No
2.6%
$575 거래량
No
2.7%
$548 거래량
No
2.8%
$2,000 거래량
No
2.9%
$6,541 거래량
Yes
3.0%
$1,033 거래량
No
3.1%
$719 거래량
No
3.2%
$650 거래량
No
≥3.3%
$627 거래량
No
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The May 2026 Core CPI year-over-year release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reported today at 8:30 a.m. ET, came in precisely at 2.9 percent and aligned with economist forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. This figure marked a 0.1 percentage point increase from April’s 2.8 percent print, reflecting contributions from shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care amid a 0.2 percent month-over-month core gain. With the official data now available and matching consensus expectations, trader positioning reflects near-certainty based on the verified release rather than forward-looking estimates. Any post-release revisions or alternative data interpretations remain the only realistic, albeit low-probability, factors that could influence residual market activity before full resolution.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
마켓 개설일: May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
거래량
$13,765종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The May 2026 Core CPI year-over-year release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reported today at 8:30 a.m. ET, came in precisely at 2.9 percent and aligned with economist forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. This figure marked a 0.1 percentage point increase from April’s 2.8 percent print, reflecting contributions from shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care amid a 0.2 percent month-over-month core gain. With the official data now available and matching consensus expectations, trader positioning reflects near-certainty based on the verified release rather than forward-looking estimates. Any post-release revisions or alternative data interpretations remain the only realistic, albeit low-probability, factors that could influence residual market activity before full resolution.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
거래량
$13,765종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The May 2026 Core CPI year-over-year release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reported today at 8:30 a.m. ET, came in precisely at 2.9 percent and aligned with economist forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. This figure marked a 0.1 percentage point increase from April’s 2.8 percent print, reflecting contributions from shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care amid a 0.2 percent month-over-month core gain. With the official data now available and matching consensus expectations, trader positioning reflects near-certainty based on the verified release rather than forward-looking estimates. Any post-release revisions or alternative data interpretations remain the only realistic, albeit low-probability, factors that could influence residual market activity before full resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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