Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion valuation, providing substantial runway for its AI-powered data lakehouse platform without public market pressures. This funding, led by JPMorgan, supports aggressive scaling of features like the Genie assistant and Lakebase AI database amid robust growth exceeding $4.8 billion annual run-rate, reducing near-term IPO urgency in a volatile software market. No S-1 filing or official timeline has emerged since CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal 2025 comments, with private secondary markets enabling liquidity. Valuation bins remain negligible (<3% combined) absent IPO signals, though a potential H2 2026 listing could test $125–250 billion range if enterprise AI adoption accelerates; watch for Q2 earnings or regulatory filings as catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 82.6%
2,000억~2,500억 2.1%
1,250억~1,500억 달러 1.4%
2,500억+ <1%
$403,994 거래량
$403,994 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
<1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러
<1%
1,250억~1,500억 달러
1%
1,500~1,750억 달러
<1%
1,750–2,000억
<1%
2,000억~2,500억
2%
2,500억+
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
83%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 82.6%
2,000억~2,500억 2.1%
1,250억~1,500억 달러 1.4%
2,500억+ <1%
$403,994 거래량
$403,994 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
$33,240 거래량
<1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러
$62,203 거래량
<1%
1,250억~1,500억 달러
$26,692 거래량
1%
1,500~1,750억 달러
$59,896 거래량
<1%
1,750–2,000억
$58,153 거래량
<1%
2,000억~2,500억
$21,122 거래량
2%
2,500억+
$126,215 거래량
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
$16,474 거래량
83%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion valuation, providing substantial runway for its AI-powered data lakehouse platform without public market pressures. This funding, led by JPMorgan, supports aggressive scaling of features like the Genie assistant and Lakebase AI database amid robust growth exceeding $4.8 billion annual run-rate, reducing near-term IPO urgency in a volatile software market. No S-1 filing or official timeline has emerged since CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal 2025 comments, with private secondary markets enabling liquidity. Valuation bins remain negligible (<3% combined) absent IPO signals, though a potential H2 2026 listing could test $125–250 billion range if enterprise AI adoption accelerates; watch for Q2 earnings or regulatory filings as catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$403,994종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion valuation, providing substantial runway for its AI-powered data lakehouse platform without public market pressures. This funding, led by JPMorgan, supports aggressive scaling of features like the Genie assistant and Lakebase AI database amid robust growth exceeding $4.8 billion annual run-rate, reducing near-term IPO urgency in a volatile software market. No S-1 filing or official timeline has emerged since CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal 2025 comments, with private secondary markets enabling liquidity. Valuation bins remain negligible (<3% combined) absent IPO signals, though a potential H2 2026 listing could test $125–250 billion range if enterprise AI adoption accelerates; watch for Q2 earnings or regulatory filings as catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$403,994종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion valuation, providing substantial runway for its AI-powered data lakehouse platform without public market pressures. This funding, led by JPMorgan, supports aggressive scaling of features like the Genie assistant and Lakebase AI database amid robust growth exceeding $4.8 billion annual run-rate, reducing near-term IPO urgency in a volatile software market. No S-1 filing or official timeline has emerged since CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal 2025 comments, with private secondary markets enabling liquidity. Valuation bins remain negligible (<3% combined) absent IPO signals, though a potential H2 2026 listing could test $125–250 billion range if enterprise AI adoption accelerates; watch for Q2 earnings or regulatory filings as catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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