Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 98% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid a tight six-week timeline requiring SEC review and quiet periods. This consensus solidified after Stripe's February 2026 tender offer valued the fintech at $159 billion—providing ample employee liquidity without public listing pressures—paired with co-founder John Collison's January statement emphasizing no rush to go public. Robust growth signals, including Q1 Stripe Atlas incorporations up 130% year-over-year and 288 product launches at Stripe Sessions in May, underscore private-market confidence. A surprise S-1 filing or accelerated board decision could challenge this positioning, though regulatory hurdles and market volatility pose barriers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 98.0%
1,400억 달러 이상 1.3%
800–1,000억 <1%
1,000억~1,200억 <1%
$168,121 거래량
$168,121 거래량
2026.06.30
800억 달러 미만
<1%
800–1,000억
1%
1,000억~1,200억
<1%
120–140B
<1%
1,400억 달러 이상
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
98%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 98.0%
1,400억 달러 이상 1.3%
800–1,000억 <1%
1,000억~1,200억 <1%
$168,121 거래량
$168,121 거래량
2026.06.30
800억 달러 미만
$71,279 거래량
<1%
800–1,000억
$14,541 거래량
1%
1,000억~1,200억
$16,210 거래량
<1%
120–140B
$32,985 거래량
<1%
1,400억 달러 이상
$14,541 거래량
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
$18,566 거래량
98%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 98% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid a tight six-week timeline requiring SEC review and quiet periods. This consensus solidified after Stripe's February 2026 tender offer valued the fintech at $159 billion—providing ample employee liquidity without public listing pressures—paired with co-founder John Collison's January statement emphasizing no rush to go public. Robust growth signals, including Q1 Stripe Atlas incorporations up 130% year-over-year and 288 product launches at Stripe Sessions in May, underscore private-market confidence. A surprise S-1 filing or accelerated board decision could challenge this positioning, though regulatory hurdles and market volatility pose barriers.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
거래량
$168,121종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 98% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid a tight six-week timeline requiring SEC review and quiet periods. This consensus solidified after Stripe's February 2026 tender offer valued the fintech at $159 billion—providing ample employee liquidity without public listing pressures—paired with co-founder John Collison's January statement emphasizing no rush to go public. Robust growth signals, including Q1 Stripe Atlas incorporations up 130% year-over-year and 288 product launches at Stripe Sessions in May, underscore private-market confidence. A surprise S-1 filing or accelerated board decision could challenge this positioning, though regulatory hurdles and market volatility pose barriers.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$168,121종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 98% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid a tight six-week timeline requiring SEC review and quiet periods. This consensus solidified after Stripe's February 2026 tender offer valued the fintech at $159 billion—providing ample employee liquidity without public listing pressures—paired with co-founder John Collison's January statement emphasizing no rush to go public. Robust growth signals, including Q1 Stripe Atlas incorporations up 130% year-over-year and 288 product launches at Stripe Sessions in May, underscore private-market confidence. A surprise S-1 filing or accelerated board decision could challenge this positioning, though regulatory hurdles and market volatility pose barriers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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