Recent energy price surges tied to the Middle East conflict have driven the sharpest upward revisions in Eurozone HICP forecasts, positioning the 3.1%+ outcome as the market-implied favorite at 57.5%. April 2026 flash inflation reached 3.0% year-over-year, up from 2.6% in March, with energy components jumping 10.9%. The ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters now projects 2.7% average annual inflation for 2026, while staff projections sit near 2.6%, both markedly higher than December 2025 estimates. Traders appear to price in persistent second-round effects through wages and transport costs alongside subdued GDP growth near 1.0%. With the next full April release due May 20 and the ECB signaling it will monitor incoming data before any policy shift, these near-term readings continue to anchor elevated implied probabilities for outcomes above 3.1%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트3.1%+ 60.9%
2.8-3.0% 28.0%
1.9–2.1% 17.5%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,885 거래량
$12,885 거래량
2027.01.19
<1.0%
22%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
1%
1.6–1.8%
14%
1.9–2.1%
17%
2.2–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.7%
11%
2.8-3.0%
28%
3.1%+
59%
3.1%+ 60.9%
2.8-3.0% 28.0%
1.9–2.1% 17.5%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,885 거래량
$12,885 거래량
2027.01.19
<1.0%
$1,069 거래량
22%
1.0–1.2%
$769 거래량
4%
1.3–1.5%
$2,022 거래량
1%
1.6–1.8%
$1,185 거래량
14%
1.9–2.1%
$2,881 거래량
17%
2.2–2.4%
$1,021 거래량
11%
2.5–2.7%
$1,139 거래량
11%
2.8-3.0%
$635 거래량
28%
3.1%+
$2,163 거래량
59%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges tied to the Middle East conflict have driven the sharpest upward revisions in Eurozone HICP forecasts, positioning the 3.1%+ outcome as the market-implied favorite at 57.5%. April 2026 flash inflation reached 3.0% year-over-year, up from 2.6% in March, with energy components jumping 10.9%. The ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters now projects 2.7% average annual inflation for 2026, while staff projections sit near 2.6%, both markedly higher than December 2025 estimates. Traders appear to price in persistent second-round effects through wages and transport costs alongside subdued GDP growth near 1.0%. With the next full April release due May 20 and the ECB signaling it will monitor incoming data before any policy shift, these near-term readings continue to anchor elevated implied probabilities for outcomes above 3.1%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
거래량
$12,885종료일
2027.01.19마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges tied to the Middle East conflict have driven the sharpest upward revisions in Eurozone HICP forecasts, positioning the 3.1%+ outcome as the market-implied favorite at 57.5%. April 2026 flash inflation reached 3.0% year-over-year, up from 2.6% in March, with energy components jumping 10.9%. The ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters now projects 2.7% average annual inflation for 2026, while staff projections sit near 2.6%, both markedly higher than December 2025 estimates. Traders appear to price in persistent second-round effects through wages and transport costs alongside subdued GDP growth near 1.0%. With the next full April release due May 20 and the ECB signaling it will monitor incoming data before any policy shift, these near-term readings continue to anchor elevated implied probabilities for outcomes above 3.1%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
거래량
$12,885종료일
2027.01.19마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price surges tied to the Middle East conflict have driven the sharpest upward revisions in Eurozone HICP forecasts, positioning the 3.1%+ outcome as the market-implied favorite at 57.5%. April 2026 flash inflation reached 3.0% year-over-year, up from 2.6% in March, with energy components jumping 10.9%. The ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters now projects 2.7% average annual inflation for 2026, while staff projections sit near 2.6%, both markedly higher than December 2025 estimates. Traders appear to price in persistent second-round effects through wages and transport costs alongside subdued GDP growth near 1.0%. With the next full April release due May 20 and the ECB signaling it will monitor incoming data before any policy shift, these near-term readings continue to anchor elevated implied probabilities for outcomes above 3.1%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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