Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27—the 21st most Democratic nationally—anchors trader consensus at 94.7% for a Democratic Party win in the House general election, reflecting Kamala Harris's 76% haul there in 2024 and Rep. Hank Johnson's consistent 75%+ general election margins since 2006. Johnson, seeking an 11th term, qualified in March 2026 with superior fundraising ($94,000 cash on hand) over primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 open primary and potential June 16 runoff. Republicans' James Duffie faces no primary opposition in this safely Democratic seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. While a Democratic primary upset, Johnson scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could shift odds, structural barriers remain formidable ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,474 거래량
$24,474 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
4%
$24,474 거래량
$24,474 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,717 거래량
95%
공화당
$10,757 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27—the 21st most Democratic nationally—anchors trader consensus at 94.7% for a Democratic Party win in the House general election, reflecting Kamala Harris's 76% haul there in 2024 and Rep. Hank Johnson's consistent 75%+ general election margins since 2006. Johnson, seeking an 11th term, qualified in March 2026 with superior fundraising ($94,000 cash on hand) over primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 open primary and potential June 16 runoff. Republicans' James Duffie faces no primary opposition in this safely Democratic seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. While a Democratic primary upset, Johnson scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could shift odds, structural barriers remain formidable ahead of the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$24,474종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27—the 21st most Democratic nationally—anchors trader consensus at 94.7% for a Democratic Party win in the House general election, reflecting Kamala Harris's 76% haul there in 2024 and Rep. Hank Johnson's consistent 75%+ general election margins since 2006. Johnson, seeking an 11th term, qualified in March 2026 with superior fundraising ($94,000 cash on hand) over primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 open primary and potential June 16 runoff. Republicans' James Duffie faces no primary opposition in this safely Democratic seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. While a Democratic primary upset, Johnson scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could shift odds, structural barriers remain formidable ahead of the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$24,474종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27—the 21st most Democratic nationally—anchors trader consensus at 94.7% for a Democratic Party win in the House general election, reflecting Kamala Harris's 76% haul there in 2024 and Rep. Hank Johnson's consistent 75%+ general election margins since 2006. Johnson, seeking an 11th term, qualified in March 2026 with superior fundraising ($94,000 cash on hand) over primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 open primary and potential June 16 runoff. Republicans' James Duffie faces no primary opposition in this safely Democratic seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. While a Democratic primary upset, Johnson scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could shift odds, structural barriers remain formidable ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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