Skip to main content
icon for 기니비사우 대통령 선거

기니비사우 대통령 선거

icon for 기니비사우 대통령 선거

기니비사우 대통령 선거

시가 바티스타 42.4%

페르난두 디아스 다 코스타 30.1%

에르쿨라노 아르만도 베킨사 4.3%

마마두 이아이아 잘로 2.8%

Polymarket

$311,497 거래량

시가 바티스타 42.4%

페르난두 디아스 다 코스타 30.1%

에르쿨라노 아르만도 베킨사 4.3%

마마두 이아이아 잘로 2.8%

Polymarket

$311,497 거래량

시가 바티스타

$21,417 거래량

42%

페르난두 디아스 다 코스타

$47,739 거래량

48%

에르쿨라노 아르만도 베킨사

$15,583 거래량

4%

마마두 이아이아 잘로

$18,181 거래량

3%

우마루 시소쿠 엠발로

$87,353 거래량

3%

마리우 다 시우바 주니오르

$17,896 거래량

2%

오노리우 아우구스토 로페스

$17,560 거래량

2%

조제 마리우 바스

$21,417 거래량

2%

조앙 베르나르두 비에이라

$15,098 거래량

1%

조앙 드 데우스 멘데스

$16,237 거래량

1%

가브리엘 페르난도 인디

$18,882 거래량

1%

바시로 쟈

$14,133 거래량

<1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Fernando Dias da Costa as the narrow frontrunner at 49.5% implied probability for Guinea-Bissau's December 6, 2026, presidential election, reflecting his momentum from the annulled 2025 vote where he claimed victory as the leading challenger to incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló before a military coup ousted the government. Siga Batista trails at 23.4%, gaining as an emerging opposition figure amid transitional military rule, while Embaló languishes at 2.6% due to coup-related backlash. No recent polls have emerged since the January 2026 election date announcement, leaving odds driven by historical name recognition, party dynamics, and credibility concerns over the vote under junta oversight in this two-round system-prone nation.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
거래량
$311,497
종료일
2025.11.23
마켓 개설일
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Fernando Dias da Costa as the narrow frontrunner at 49.5% implied probability for Guinea-Bissau's December 6, 2026, presidential election, reflecting his momentum from the annulled 2025 vote where he claimed victory as the leading challenger to incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló before a military coup ousted the government. Siga Batista trails at 23.4%, gaining as an emerging opposition figure amid transitional military rule, while Embaló languishes at 2.6% due to coup-related backlash. No recent polls have emerged since the January 2026 election date announcement, leaving odds driven by historical name recognition, party dynamics, and credibility concerns over the vote under junta oversight in this two-round system-prone nation.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
거래량
$311,497
종료일
2025.11.23
마켓 개설일
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"기니비사우 대통령 선거"은 12개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 48%의 "페르난두 디아스 다 코스타"이며, 이어서 42%의 "시가 바티스타"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 48¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 48%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "기니비사우 대통령 선거"은 총 $311.5K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Nov 6, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"기니비사우 대통령 선거"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 12개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"기니비사우 대통령 선거"의 현재 유력 후보는 48%의 "페르난두 디아스 다 코스타"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 48%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 42%의 "시가 바티스타"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"기니비사우 대통령 선거"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.