Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place the daytime maximum near 14°C at the official observation site under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly flow. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, aligning with the market-implied consensus at 100% for the 14°C outcome. Historical analogs for mid-May in Buenos Aires show similar cool episodes following cold fronts, with limited potential for rapid warming under stable high pressure. Traders appear to view any upward revision in the final official reading as unlikely given the current model consensus, though late-day clearing or minor forecast adjustments could still produce a 15°C reading.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 부에노스아이레스에서 가장 높은 온도는?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$38,307 거래량
$38,307 거래량
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$38,307 거래량
$38,307 거래량
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place the daytime maximum near 14°C at the official observation site under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly flow. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, aligning with the market-implied consensus at 100% for the 14°C outcome. Historical analogs for mid-May in Buenos Aires show similar cool episodes following cold fronts, with limited potential for rapid warming under stable high pressure. Traders appear to view any upward revision in the final official reading as unlikely given the current model consensus, though late-day clearing or minor forecast adjustments could still produce a 15°C reading.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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