The closely matched leading probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on May 19, as global models such as ECMWF and GFS continue to show daily highs oscillating within a narrow 2–3°C band amid typical autumn transition patterns. A transient high-pressure ridge has recently suppressed cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming, while variable southeasterly flow from the Río de la Plata may introduce marine influence that caps the peak. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range, with resolution hinging on whether observed maximum temperatures reach the 19°C threshold under prevailing clear-sky conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 19일 부에노스아이레스에서 가장 높은 온도는?
18°C 27%
17°C 20%
19°C 20%
16°C 16%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
20%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
7%
21°C 이상
3%
18°C 27%
17°C 20%
19°C 20%
16°C 16%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
20%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
7%
21°C 이상
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The closely matched leading probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on May 19, as global models such as ECMWF and GFS continue to show daily highs oscillating within a narrow 2–3°C band amid typical autumn transition patterns. A transient high-pressure ridge has recently suppressed cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming, while variable southeasterly flow from the Río de la Plata may introduce marine influence that caps the peak. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range, with resolution hinging on whether observed maximum temperatures reach the 19°C threshold under prevailing clear-sky conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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