Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Guangzhou will experience peak temperatures well above 28°C on May 16 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime heating enhanced by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 29–31°C, and recent observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration confirm no significant cooling influence from northern cold fronts or heavy precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% for 28°C or higher reflects this strong alignment between model consensus and baseline seasonal norms. Only an atypical rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected frontal passage could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$23,772 거래량
$23,772 거래량
2026.05.16
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$23,772 거래량
$23,772 거래량
2026.05.16
18°C or below
$470 거래량
No
19°C
$424 거래량
No
20°C
$428 거래량
No
21°C
$977 거래량
No
22°C
$723 거래량
No
23°C
$980 거래량
No
24°C
$4,690 거래량
No
25°C
$3,100 거래량
No
26°C
$3,634 거래량
No
27°C
$4,472 거래량
No
28°C or higher
$3,874 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Guangzhou will experience peak temperatures well above 28°C on May 16 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime heating enhanced by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 29–31°C, and recent observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration confirm no significant cooling influence from northern cold fronts or heavy precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% for 28°C or higher reflects this strong alignment between model consensus and baseline seasonal norms. Only an atypical rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected frontal passage could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
거래량
$23,772종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Guangzhou will experience peak temperatures well above 28°C on May 16 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime heating enhanced by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 29–31°C, and recent observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration confirm no significant cooling influence from northern cold fronts or heavy precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% for 28°C or higher reflects this strong alignment between model consensus and baseline seasonal norms. Only an atypical rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected frontal passage could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$23,772종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Guangzhou will experience peak temperatures well above 28°C on May 16 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime heating enhanced by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 29–31°C, and recent observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration confirm no significant cooling influence from northern cold fronts or heavy precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% for 28°C or higher reflects this strong alignment between model consensus and baseline seasonal norms. Only an atypical rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected frontal passage could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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