Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds of 100% for 22 °C as the highest reading. Official observations at Istanbul Airport, the resolution source, have historically tracked closely with these guidance products during stable spring conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine layer intrusion, rapid wind shift, or localized convective cooling that caps readings below the threshold before midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 17일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$61,208 거래량
$61,208 거래량
2026.05.17
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$61,208 거래량
$61,208 거래량
2026.05.17
22°C
$8,609 거래량
100%
23°C
$6,684 거래량
<1%
24°C or higher
$11,327 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds of 100% for 22 °C as the highest reading. Official observations at Istanbul Airport, the resolution source, have historically tracked closely with these guidance products during stable spring conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine layer intrusion, rapid wind shift, or localized convective cooling that caps readings below the threshold before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$61,208종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds of 100% for 22 °C as the highest reading. Official observations at Istanbul Airport, the resolution source, have historically tracked closely with these guidance products during stable spring conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine layer intrusion, rapid wind shift, or localized convective cooling that caps readings below the threshold before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$61,208종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds of 100% for 22 °C as the highest reading. Official observations at Istanbul Airport, the resolution source, have historically tracked closely with these guidance products during stable spring conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine layer intrusion, rapid wind shift, or localized convective cooling that caps readings below the threshold before midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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