National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations at San Francisco International Airport show the May 17 daytime maximum tracking near the 68°F climatological normal, driving the market-implied 100% probability for the 68°F-or-higher outcome. Marine layer patterns typical of mid-May have moderated overnight lows while allowing sufficient afternoon warming under partly sunny skies, consistent with historical May averages of 66–70°F at the official KSFO station. Minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing and localized microclimate effects, but current model consensus and hourly trends make sub-68°F readings unlikely by resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 샌프란시스코에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$26,125 거래량
$26,125 거래량
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
100%
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$26,125 거래량
$26,125 거래량
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations at San Francisco International Airport show the May 17 daytime maximum tracking near the 68°F climatological normal, driving the market-implied 100% probability for the 68°F-or-higher outcome. Marine layer patterns typical of mid-May have moderated overnight lows while allowing sufficient afternoon warming under partly sunny skies, consistent with historical May averages of 66–70°F at the official KSFO station. Minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing and localized microclimate effects, but current model consensus and hourly trends make sub-68°F readings unlikely by resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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