Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air. This scientific consensus explains the market’s leading 50.5% implied probability on 27°C and 26.5% on 28°C, while 26°C trails at 12.0%. Typical May climatology for the region shows highs of 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns, with limited cloud cover and moderate humidity expected to support modest daytime heating. Updated model runs and official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 상하이에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 상하이에서 가장 높은 기온?
27°C 51%
28°C 27%
26°C 16%
29°C 9%
신규
$43,516 거래량
신규
$43,516 거래량
2026.05.18
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
16%
27°C
51%
28°C
27%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 27%
26°C 16%
29°C 9%
신규
$43,516 거래량
신규
$43,516 거래량
2026.05.18
21°C or below
$869 거래량
<1%
22°C
$1,101 거래량
<1%
23°C
$3,944 거래량
<1%
24°C
$7,502 거래량
<1%
25°C
$9,632 거래량
<1%
26°C
$5,975 거래량
16%
27°C
$3,267 거래량
51%
28°C
$3,428 거래량
27%
29°C
$4,154 거래량
9%
30°C
$4,224 거래량
3%
31°C or higher
$3,584 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air. This scientific consensus explains the market’s leading 50.5% implied probability on 27°C and 26.5% on 28°C, while 26°C trails at 12.0%. Typical May climatology for the region shows highs of 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns, with limited cloud cover and moderate humidity expected to support modest daytime heating. Updated model runs and official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$43,516종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air. This scientific consensus explains the market’s leading 50.5% implied probability on 27°C and 26.5% on 28°C, while 26°C trails at 12.0%. Typical May climatology for the region shows highs of 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns, with limited cloud cover and moderate humidity expected to support modest daytime heating. Updated model runs and official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$43,516종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air. This scientific consensus explains the market’s leading 50.5% implied probability on 27°C and 26.5% on 28°C, while 26°C trails at 12.0%. Typical May climatology for the region shows highs of 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns, with limited cloud cover and moderate humidity expected to support modest daytime heating. Updated model runs and official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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