Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's daily maximum on May 18 will likely settle near 26–27 °C under moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian monsoon transition. Subtropical spring conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 20 °C in the East China Sea and limited upper-level ridging, constrain stronger warming while suppressing the risk of cooler northerly intrusions. Historical mid-May climatology for the city centers on 25 °C highs, so traders are weighting current guidance against small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and diurnal heating rates. Updated runs from the ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will clarify whether modest clearing pushes the peak toward 28 °C or persistent stratus caps it at 26 °C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 상하이에서 가장 높은 기온?
27°C 32%
26°C 27%
28°C 20%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
27%
27°C
32%
28°C
20%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 27%
28°C 20%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
27%
27°C
32%
28°C
20%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's daily maximum on May 18 will likely settle near 26–27 °C under moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian monsoon transition. Subtropical spring conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 20 °C in the East China Sea and limited upper-level ridging, constrain stronger warming while suppressing the risk of cooler northerly intrusions. Historical mid-May climatology for the city centers on 25 °C highs, so traders are weighting current guidance against small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and diurnal heating rates. Updated runs from the ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will clarify whether modest clearing pushes the peak toward 28 °C or persistent stratus caps it at 26 °C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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