**Current forecasts place Shenzhen's June 12 high near 29–31 °C amid early-summer monsoon flow from the South China Sea, with ensemble guidance from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS showing modest spread due to variable afternoon convection.** High humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29 °C favor daytime peaks in this narrow band, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover can suppress the maximum by 1–2 °C depending on timing. Official station data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will determine resolution, and recent model runs indicate limited deviation from climatological June averages of ~30–31 °C. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 29–31 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture or steering winds can shift the observed peak across those thresholds, with 30 °C holding a narrow edge in the latest consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 12일 선전에서 가장 높은 기온?
30°C 35%
29°C 28%
31°C 23%
28°C 10%
23°C 이하
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
28%
30°C
35%
31°C
23%
32°C
4%
33°C 이상
1%
30°C 35%
29°C 28%
31°C 23%
28°C 10%
23°C 이하
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
28%
30°C
35%
31°C
23%
32°C
4%
33°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts place Shenzhen's June 12 high near 29–31 °C amid early-summer monsoon flow from the South China Sea, with ensemble guidance from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS showing modest spread due to variable afternoon convection.** High humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29 °C favor daytime peaks in this narrow band, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover can suppress the maximum by 1–2 °C depending on timing. Official station data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will determine resolution, and recent model runs indicate limited deviation from climatological June averages of ~30–31 °C. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 29–31 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture or steering winds can shift the observed peak across those thresholds, with 30 °C holding a narrow edge in the latest consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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