Recent official forecasts from MetService indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 13, with other models ranging 13–15°C amid variable northerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. Trader sentiment clusters on 14–15°C because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show narrow spread driven by uncertainty in daytime heating, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing over Cook Strait. In winter, southerly advection of cooler maritime air can cap highs near seasonal averages of 13°C, while clearer northerly regimes allow modest warming to 15–16°C through increased insolation. Upcoming model runs and MetService updates will likely resolve the tight probability split between these outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wellington on June 13?
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
16°C 17%
13°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
32%
15°C
39%
16°C
17%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
16°C 17%
13°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
32%
15°C
39%
16°C
17%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from MetService indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 13, with other models ranging 13–15°C amid variable northerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. Trader sentiment clusters on 14–15°C because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show narrow spread driven by uncertainty in daytime heating, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing over Cook Strait. In winter, southerly advection of cooler maritime air can cap highs near seasonal averages of 13°C, while clearer northerly regimes allow modest warming to 15–16°C through increased insolation. Upcoming model runs and MetService updates will likely resolve the tight probability split between these outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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