The balanced slate of 36 gubernatorial contests in November, evenly split between 18 Republican-held and 18 Democratic-held seats, anchors trader expectations near 23 Republican governors afterward. Republicans must defend offices in New Hampshire and Vermont, states that leaned Democratic in the 2024 presidential vote, while Democrats face exposure in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—states carried by Republicans that cycle. Recent polling aggregates and early primary developments show limited net movement so far, leaving the range of 22–25 seats as the most probable cluster. Candidate recruitment, turnout patterns in battleground states, and any late national economic or policy shifts could still alter the final tally before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트22–23 34%
24–25 29%
26–27 18%
22개 미만 14%
$667,336 거래량
$667,336 거래량
22개 미만
14%
22–23
34%
24–25
29%
26–27
18%
28–29
7%
30–31
<1%
32개 이상
<1%
22–23 34%
24–25 29%
26–27 18%
22개 미만 14%
$667,336 거래량
$667,336 거래량
22개 미만
14%
22–23
34%
24–25
29%
26–27
18%
28–29
7%
30–31
<1%
32개 이상
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The balanced slate of 36 gubernatorial contests in November, evenly split between 18 Republican-held and 18 Democratic-held seats, anchors trader expectations near 23 Republican governors afterward. Republicans must defend offices in New Hampshire and Vermont, states that leaned Democratic in the 2024 presidential vote, while Democrats face exposure in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—states carried by Republicans that cycle. Recent polling aggregates and early primary developments show limited net movement so far, leaving the range of 22–25 seats as the most probable cluster. Candidate recruitment, turnout patterns in battleground states, and any late national economic or policy shifts could still alter the final tally before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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