Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 10°C minimum in London on June 11. Official guidance and ensemble outputs indicate overnight temperatures stabilizing near this threshold amid typical early-summer high pressure, with clear to partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling while light winds prevent further drops. Historical June averages around 11–12°C provide climatological context, yet current model agreement across runs has narrowed uncertainty to within 1°C. A rapid shift in cloud cover or an unforecasted frontal passage could allow brief additional cooling toward 9°C or below, though such developments remain low-probability given the short time to resolution and stable steering patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 11일 런던 최저 기온?
10°C 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,206 거래량
$27,206 거래량
5°C 이하
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C 이상
<1%
10°C 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,206 거래량
$27,206 거래량
5°C 이하
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 10°C minimum in London on June 11. Official guidance and ensemble outputs indicate overnight temperatures stabilizing near this threshold amid typical early-summer high pressure, with clear to partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling while light winds prevent further drops. Historical June averages around 11–12°C provide climatological context, yet current model agreement across runs has narrowed uncertainty to within 1°C. A rapid shift in cloud cover or an unforecasted frontal passage could allow brief additional cooling toward 9°C or below, though such developments remain low-probability given the short time to resolution and stable steering patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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