Trader consensus on a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11 reflects the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and supporting model consensus pointing to a morning minimum near that threshold. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, which moderate overnight radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures from dropping further amid moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with early-June climatology for Seoul, where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C, and current ensemble runs show limited variability in steering patterns or instability. The 97.8% implied probability captures this tight clustering around verified observational baselines. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight that could enhance cooling to 15°C or localized urban heat effects nudging readings slightly higher, though forecast updates through the evening window would be required to shift the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 11일 서울 최저 기온?
6월 11일 서울 최저 기온?
16°C 97.8%
15°C 2.1%
14°C <1%
11°C 이하 <1%
$31,638 거래량
$31,638 거래량
2026.06.11
11°C 이하
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C 이상
<1%
16°C 97.8%
15°C 2.1%
14°C <1%
11°C 이하 <1%
$31,638 거래량
$31,638 거래량
2026.06.11
11°C 이하
$557 거래량
<1%
12°C
$571 거래량
<1%
13°C
$845 거래량
<1%
14°C
$2,094 거래량
<1%
15°C
$2,803 거래량
2%
16°C
$10,627 거래량
98%
17°C
$1,984 거래량
<1%
18°C
$10,966 거래량
<1%
19°C
$772 거래량
<1%
20°C
$481 거래량
<1%
21°C 이상
$454 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11 reflects the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and supporting model consensus pointing to a morning minimum near that threshold. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, which moderate overnight radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures from dropping further amid moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with early-June climatology for Seoul, where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C, and current ensemble runs show limited variability in steering patterns or instability. The 97.8% implied probability captures this tight clustering around verified observational baselines. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight that could enhance cooling to 15°C or localized urban heat effects nudging readings slightly higher, though forecast updates through the evening window would be required to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
거래량
$31,638종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11 reflects the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and supporting model consensus pointing to a morning minimum near that threshold. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, which moderate overnight radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures from dropping further amid moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with early-June climatology for Seoul, where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C, and current ensemble runs show limited variability in steering patterns or instability. The 97.8% implied probability captures this tight clustering around verified observational baselines. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight that could enhance cooling to 15°C or localized urban heat effects nudging readings slightly higher, though forecast updates through the evening window would be required to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$31,638종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTrader consensus on a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11 reflects the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and supporting model consensus pointing to a morning minimum near that threshold. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, which moderate overnight radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures from dropping further amid moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with early-June climatology for Seoul, where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C, and current ensemble runs show limited variability in steering patterns or instability. The 97.8% implied probability captures this tight clustering around verified observational baselines. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight that could enhance cooling to 15°C or localized urban heat effects nudging readings slightly higher, though forecast updates through the evening window would be required to shift the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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