Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting ensemble models converged on a Seoul minimum temperature of exactly 14 °C for May 17, driven by mostly clear skies and light winds that enhanced radiational cooling overnight. This stable high-pressure pattern, typical of mid-May climatology, limited moisture and produced sharper overnight drops than seasonal averages, aligning closely with the market’s near-100 % implied probability for that precise outcome. Traders placed high confidence in the short-range guidance given its consistency across official stations. Any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or surface wind speeds before dawn could have trapped heat and nudged the observed low to 15 °C or higher when final KMA readings were recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 서울 최저 기온?
5월 17일 서울 최저 기온?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
12도 이하 <1%
20°C <1%
$19,791 거래량
$19,791 거래량
2026.05.17
12도 이하
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C 이상
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
12도 이하 <1%
20°C <1%
$19,791 거래량
$19,791 거래량
2026.05.17
12도 이하
$1,647 거래량
1%
13°C
$1,820 거래량
<1%
14°C
$1,737 거래량
100%
15°C
$1,073 거래량
1%
16°C
$888 거래량
<1%
17°C
$850 거래량
<1%
18°C
$2,719 거래량
<1%
19°C
$3,145 거래량
<1%
20°C
$3,283 거래량
1%
21°C
$1,818 거래량
<1%
22°C 이상
$812 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting ensemble models converged on a Seoul minimum temperature of exactly 14 °C for May 17, driven by mostly clear skies and light winds that enhanced radiational cooling overnight. This stable high-pressure pattern, typical of mid-May climatology, limited moisture and produced sharper overnight drops than seasonal averages, aligning closely with the market’s near-100 % implied probability for that precise outcome. Traders placed high confidence in the short-range guidance given its consistency across official stations. Any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or surface wind speeds before dawn could have trapped heat and nudged the observed low to 15 °C or higher when final KMA readings were recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
거래량
$19,791종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting ensemble models converged on a Seoul minimum temperature of exactly 14 °C for May 17, driven by mostly clear skies and light winds that enhanced radiational cooling overnight. This stable high-pressure pattern, typical of mid-May climatology, limited moisture and produced sharper overnight drops than seasonal averages, aligning closely with the market’s near-100 % implied probability for that precise outcome. Traders placed high confidence in the short-range guidance given its consistency across official stations. Any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or surface wind speeds before dawn could have trapped heat and nudged the observed low to 15 °C or higher when final KMA readings were recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$19,791종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETRecent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting ensemble models converged on a Seoul minimum temperature of exactly 14 °C for May 17, driven by mostly clear skies and light winds that enhanced radiational cooling overnight. This stable high-pressure pattern, typical of mid-May climatology, limited moisture and produced sharper overnight drops than seasonal averages, aligning closely with the market’s near-100 % implied probability for that precise outcome. Traders placed high confidence in the short-range guidance given its consistency across official stations. Any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or surface wind speeds before dawn could have trapped heat and nudged the observed low to 15 °C or higher when final KMA readings were recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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