Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul's lowest temperature on May 17 clustering around 15°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiative cooling, driving trader consensus there at 28% implied probability amid light winds and minimal cloud cover early in the overnight period. High uncertainty stems from model spread—14°C (17.5%) viable if winds drop below 3 m/s enhancing cooling, 13°C (17%) if a weak cold air advection influences, while 16°C (10%) rises with any mid-May cloudiness or urban heat island moderation. Recent cool nights earlier in May, like 12°C on the 14th, contextualize the positioning against climatological mid-May lows near 14°C; watch KMA updates today for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 서울 최저 기온?
5월 17일 서울 최저 기온?
15°C 32%
13°C 29%
14°C 14%
16°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
12도 이하
4%
13°C
29%
14°C
23%
15°C
32%
16°C
11%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C 이상
<1%
15°C 32%
13°C 29%
14°C 14%
16°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
12도 이하
$232 거래량
4%
13°C
$261 거래량
29%
14°C
$15 거래량
23%
15°C
$40 거래량
32%
16°C
$38 거래량
11%
17°C
$75 거래량
4%
18°C
$1,165 거래량
1%
19°C
$1,313 거래량
1%
20°C
$1,420 거래량
1%
21°C
$300 거래량
<1%
22°C 이상
$143 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul's lowest temperature on May 17 clustering around 15°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiative cooling, driving trader consensus there at 28% implied probability amid light winds and minimal cloud cover early in the overnight period. High uncertainty stems from model spread—14°C (17.5%) viable if winds drop below 3 m/s enhancing cooling, 13°C (17%) if a weak cold air advection influences, while 16°C (10%) rises with any mid-May cloudiness or urban heat island moderation. Recent cool nights earlier in May, like 12°C on the 14th, contextualize the positioning against climatological mid-May lows near 14°C; watch KMA updates today for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
거래량
$5,002종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul's lowest temperature on May 17 clustering around 15°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiative cooling, driving trader consensus there at 28% implied probability amid light winds and minimal cloud cover early in the overnight period. High uncertainty stems from model spread—14°C (17.5%) viable if winds drop below 3 m/s enhancing cooling, 13°C (17%) if a weak cold air advection influences, while 16°C (10%) rises with any mid-May cloudiness or urban heat island moderation. Recent cool nights earlier in May, like 12°C on the 14th, contextualize the positioning against climatological mid-May lows near 14°C; watch KMA updates today for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,002종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETLatest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul's lowest temperature on May 17 clustering around 15°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiative cooling, driving trader consensus there at 28% implied probability amid light winds and minimal cloud cover early in the overnight period. High uncertainty stems from model spread—14°C (17.5%) viable if winds drop below 3 m/s enhancing cooling, 13°C (17%) if a weak cold air advection influences, while 16°C (10%) rises with any mid-May cloudiness or urban heat island moderation. Recent cool nights earlier in May, like 12°C on the 14th, contextualize the positioning against climatological mid-May lows near 14°C; watch KMA updates today for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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