Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 14, 2026, will settle near 20–21°C under typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light southeasterly winds, and possible showers that limit radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with historical June averages (around 20–24°C lows) and recent stable atmospheric patterns across eastern China, driving the market's 98.7% implied probability for a 20°C minimum. A late-arriving cold front, stronger-than-expected rain cooling the boundary layer, or an official station reading deviation of 1°C could shift the outcome toward 19°C, though current guidance shows limited divergence across ensemble runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
20°C 98.8%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C 이하 <1%
$54,380 거래량
$54,380 거래량
17°C 이하
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
20°C 98.8%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C 이하 <1%
$54,380 거래량
$54,380 거래량
17°C 이하
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 14, 2026, will settle near 20–21°C under typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light southeasterly winds, and possible showers that limit radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with historical June averages (around 20–24°C lows) and recent stable atmospheric patterns across eastern China, driving the market's 98.7% implied probability for a 20°C minimum. A late-arriving cold front, stronger-than-expected rain cooling the boundary layer, or an official station reading deviation of 1°C could shift the outcome toward 19°C, though current guidance shows limited divergence across ensemble runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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