Michigan's 4th congressional district features incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga seeking reelection against Democratic primary contenders including state Sen. Sean McCann in a race rated lean or likely Republican by forecasters. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Huizenga's 2024 double-digit victory provide a baseline GOP edge, yet a March 2026 poll showed the incumbent leading McCann by just 6 points amid robust Democratic fundraising that exceeded the Republican's in the first quarter. This dynamic, combined with national midterm trends favoring the opposition party and the open Democratic primary scheduled for August 4, sustains a tight contest where small shifts in turnout or candidate momentum could separate the outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
52%
Democratic Party
42%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$336 거래량
52%
Democratic Party
$511 거래량
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 4th congressional district features incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga seeking reelection against Democratic primary contenders including state Sen. Sean McCann in a race rated lean or likely Republican by forecasters. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Huizenga's 2024 double-digit victory provide a baseline GOP edge, yet a March 2026 poll showed the incumbent leading McCann by just 6 points amid robust Democratic fundraising that exceeded the Republican's in the first quarter. This dynamic, combined with national midterm trends favoring the opposition party and the open Democratic primary scheduled for August 4, sustains a tight contest where small shifts in turnout or candidate momentum could separate the outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$847종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 4th congressional district features incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga seeking reelection against Democratic primary contenders including state Sen. Sean McCann in a race rated lean or likely Republican by forecasters. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Huizenga's 2024 double-digit victory provide a baseline GOP edge, yet a March 2026 poll showed the incumbent leading McCann by just 6 points amid robust Democratic fundraising that exceeded the Republican's in the first quarter. This dynamic, combined with national midterm trends favoring the opposition party and the open Democratic primary scheduled for August 4, sustains a tight contest where small shifts in turnout or candidate momentum could separate the outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$847종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 4th congressional district features incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga seeking reelection against Democratic primary contenders including state Sen. Sean McCann in a race rated lean or likely Republican by forecasters. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Huizenga's 2024 double-digit victory provide a baseline GOP edge, yet a March 2026 poll showed the incumbent leading McCann by just 6 points amid robust Democratic fundraising that exceeded the Republican's in the first quarter. This dynamic, combined with national midterm trends favoring the opposition party and the open Democratic primary scheduled for August 4, sustains a tight contest where small shifts in turnout or candidate momentum could separate the outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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