Skip to main content
icon for 올여름 민북극 해빙 정도?

올여름 민북극 해빙 정도?

icon for 올여름 민북극 해빙 정도?

올여름 민북극 해빙 정도?

400만 제곱킬로미터 미만 57%

420만~440만 제곱킬로미터 13.7%

4.0~4.2백만 ㎢ 13.6%

440만~460만 제곱킬로미터 8.2%

Polymarket

$48,619 거래량

400만 제곱킬로미터 미만 57%

420만~440만 제곱킬로미터 13.7%

4.0~4.2백만 ㎢ 13.6%

440만~460만 제곱킬로미터 8.2%

Polymarket

$48,619 거래량

400만 제곱킬로미터 미만

$25,113 거래량

57%

4.0~4.2백만 ㎢

$3,465 거래량

14%

420만~440만 제곱킬로미터

$1,313 거래량

14%

440만~460만 제곱킬로미터

$1,387 거래량

8%

460만~480만 제곱킬로미터

$2,948 거래량

6%

480-500만 제곱킬로미터

$1,199 거래량

2%

500만+ 제곱킬로미터

$13,195 거래량

2%

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Record-low Arctic sea ice maximum extent of 14.29 million square kilometers in mid-March 2026, statistically tied with 2025 for the smallest in the satellite record, has positioned traders to favor a September minimum below 4 million square kilometers. Persistent near-record low extents and ice area through early May, including a May 8 area of just 10.75 million square kilometers, reflect thin first-year ice vulnerable to rapid melt under above-average spring air temperatures. An emerging El Niño pattern per NOAA outlooks adds further downward pressure on summer ice, consistent with historical links to reduced minima, while PIOMAS volume estimates near historic lows amplify sensitivity to seasonal weather variability. The Sea Ice Prediction Network’s June outlook will supply updated model consensus ahead of the critical melt peak.

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
거래량
$48,619
종료일
2026.10.01
마켓 개설일
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Record-low Arctic sea ice maximum extent of 14.29 million square kilometers in mid-March 2026, statistically tied with 2025 for the smallest in the satellite record, has positioned traders to favor a September minimum below 4 million square kilometers. Persistent near-record low extents and ice area through early May, including a May 8 area of just 10.75 million square kilometers, reflect thin first-year ice vulnerable to rapid melt under above-average spring air temperatures. An emerging El Niño pattern per NOAA outlooks adds further downward pressure on summer ice, consistent with historical links to reduced minima, while PIOMAS volume estimates near historic lows amplify sensitivity to seasonal weather variability. The Sea Ice Prediction Network’s June outlook will supply updated model consensus ahead of the critical melt peak.

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
거래량
$48,619
종료일
2026.10.01
마켓 개설일
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"올여름 민북극 해빙 정도?"은 7개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 57%의 "400만 제곱킬로미터 미만"이며, 이어서 14%의 "4.0~4.2백만 ㎢"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 57¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 57%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "올여름 민북극 해빙 정도?"은 총 $48.6K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Nov 20, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"올여름 민북극 해빙 정도?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 7개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"올여름 민북극 해빙 정도?"의 현재 유력 후보는 57%의 "400만 제곱킬로미터 미만"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 57%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 14%의 "4.0~4.2백만 ㎢"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"올여름 민북극 해빙 정도?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.