Incumbent Sen. Cory Booker's unopposed Democratic primary position and New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean—evident in Andy Kim's 2024 Senate win—anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. With the June 2 primary approaching, four Republicans (Alex Zdan, Richard Tabor, Robert Lebovics, Justin Murphy) are competing for their nomination, fragmenting GOP resources in a state where incumbents historically dominate amid strong party-line voting and urban turnout advantages. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past month; barring a Booker scandal, unified GOP surge behind a top challenger post-primary, or national Republican wave, the structural barriers favor Democrats decisively.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$17,824 거래량
$17,824 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
5%
$17,824 거래량
$17,824 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$8,905 거래량
95%
공화당
$8,920 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Cory Booker's unopposed Democratic primary position and New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean—evident in Andy Kim's 2024 Senate win—anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. With the June 2 primary approaching, four Republicans (Alex Zdan, Richard Tabor, Robert Lebovics, Justin Murphy) are competing for their nomination, fragmenting GOP resources in a state where incumbents historically dominate amid strong party-line voting and urban turnout advantages. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past month; barring a Booker scandal, unified GOP surge behind a top challenger post-primary, or national Republican wave, the structural barriers favor Democrats decisively.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$17,824종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Cory Booker's unopposed Democratic primary position and New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean—evident in Andy Kim's 2024 Senate win—anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. With the June 2 primary approaching, four Republicans (Alex Zdan, Richard Tabor, Robert Lebovics, Justin Murphy) are competing for their nomination, fragmenting GOP resources in a state where incumbents historically dominate amid strong party-line voting and urban turnout advantages. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past month; barring a Booker scandal, unified GOP surge behind a top challenger post-primary, or national Republican wave, the structural barriers favor Democrats decisively.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$17,824종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Cory Booker's unopposed Democratic primary position and New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean—evident in Andy Kim's 2024 Senate win—anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. With the June 2 primary approaching, four Republicans (Alex Zdan, Richard Tabor, Robert Lebovics, Justin Murphy) are competing for their nomination, fragmenting GOP resources in a state where incumbents historically dominate amid strong party-line voting and urban turnout advantages. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past month; barring a Booker scandal, unified GOP surge behind a top challenger post-primary, or national Republican wave, the structural barriers favor Democrats decisively.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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