Incumbent Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham's term limits create an open race, but trader consensus prices Democrats at 87.5% due to former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging 46% against DA Sam Bregman's 27% in late April surveys by Emerson and Research & Polling—bolstered by endorsements from New Mexico's congressional delegation. Republicans remain fragmented ahead of the June 2 primaries, with Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull at 25.5% on average versus scattered support for Duke Rodriguez and Doug Turner, and high undecideds exceeding 40%. A May 8 GOP debate attacking Haaland drew little momentum, reinforcing New Mexico's Democratic gubernatorial dominance since 2019 amid the state's reliable blue voting patterns in battleground races. General election polls await post-primary nominees on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,298 거래량
$21,298 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
88%
공화당
10%
$21,298 거래량
$21,298 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$15,490 거래량
88%
공화당
$5,808 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham's term limits create an open race, but trader consensus prices Democrats at 87.5% due to former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging 46% against DA Sam Bregman's 27% in late April surveys by Emerson and Research & Polling—bolstered by endorsements from New Mexico's congressional delegation. Republicans remain fragmented ahead of the June 2 primaries, with Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull at 25.5% on average versus scattered support for Duke Rodriguez and Doug Turner, and high undecideds exceeding 40%. A May 8 GOP debate attacking Haaland drew little momentum, reinforcing New Mexico's Democratic gubernatorial dominance since 2019 amid the state's reliable blue voting patterns in battleground races. General election polls await post-primary nominees on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
거래량
$21,298종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham's term limits create an open race, but trader consensus prices Democrats at 87.5% due to former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging 46% against DA Sam Bregman's 27% in late April surveys by Emerson and Research & Polling—bolstered by endorsements from New Mexico's congressional delegation. Republicans remain fragmented ahead of the June 2 primaries, with Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull at 25.5% on average versus scattered support for Duke Rodriguez and Doug Turner, and high undecideds exceeding 40%. A May 8 GOP debate attacking Haaland drew little momentum, reinforcing New Mexico's Democratic gubernatorial dominance since 2019 amid the state's reliable blue voting patterns in battleground races. General election polls await post-primary nominees on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$21,298종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham's term limits create an open race, but trader consensus prices Democrats at 87.5% due to former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging 46% against DA Sam Bregman's 27% in late April surveys by Emerson and Research & Polling—bolstered by endorsements from New Mexico's congressional delegation. Republicans remain fragmented ahead of the June 2 primaries, with Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull at 25.5% on average versus scattered support for Duke Rodriguez and Doug Turner, and high undecideds exceeding 40%. A May 8 GOP debate attacking Haaland drew little momentum, reinforcing New Mexico's Democratic gubernatorial dominance since 2019 amid the state's reliable blue voting patterns in battleground races. General election polls await post-primary nominees on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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