Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly $4 million raised and $2.8 million cash on hand versus Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker's $787,000—bolsters his hold on New York's battleground 19th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party above 75% following late April FEC reports. Forecasters including Cook Political Report updated NY-19 to Lean Democratic as of May 14, citing Riley's incumbency advantage after his narrow 2024 flip and a divided GOP primary on June 23 between Oberacker and Alexander Portelli that risks resource splits. No district polls exist, but New York generic ballot trends favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, with the November 3 general election as the resolution date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
24%
Democratic Party
54%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$50 거래량
24%
Democratic Party
$224 거래량
54%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly $4 million raised and $2.8 million cash on hand versus Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker's $787,000—bolsters his hold on New York's battleground 19th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party above 75% following late April FEC reports. Forecasters including Cook Political Report updated NY-19 to Lean Democratic as of May 14, citing Riley's incumbency advantage after his narrow 2024 flip and a divided GOP primary on June 23 between Oberacker and Alexander Portelli that risks resource splits. No district polls exist, but New York generic ballot trends favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, with the November 3 general election as the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
거래량
$274종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly $4 million raised and $2.8 million cash on hand versus Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker's $787,000—bolsters his hold on New York's battleground 19th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party above 75% following late April FEC reports. Forecasters including Cook Political Report updated NY-19 to Lean Democratic as of May 14, citing Riley's incumbency advantage after his narrow 2024 flip and a divided GOP primary on June 23 between Oberacker and Alexander Portelli that risks resource splits. No district polls exist, but New York generic ballot trends favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, with the November 3 general election as the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$274종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly $4 million raised and $2.8 million cash on hand versus Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker's $787,000—bolsters his hold on New York's battleground 19th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party above 75% following late April FEC reports. Forecasters including Cook Political Report updated NY-19 to Lean Democratic as of May 14, citing Riley's incumbency advantage after his narrow 2024 flip and a divided GOP primary on June 23 between Oberacker and Alexander Portelli that risks resource splits. No district polls exist, but New York generic ballot trends favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, with the November 3 general election as the resolution date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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