Heightened U.S. sanctions and executive actions under the Trump administration have intensified economic pressure on Cuba through oil import restrictions and designations targeting regime officials, while President Trump’s rhetoric has included references to potential military options. Cuban officials have conducted invasion drills and rejected demands that cross sovereignty red lines, yet recent direct talks, including a May 2026 CIA delegation visit to Havana, signal continued diplomatic engagement. U.S. officials have stated that no imminent military action is planned despite Caribbean naval deployments tied to counter-narcotics operations. These developments underpin trader consensus that a full-scale clash remains unlikely this year, with economic coercion and negotiations serving as the primary tools for addressing bilateral tensions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$109,404 거래량
$109,404 거래량
2026.12.31
$109,404 거래량
$109,404 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Heightened U.S. sanctions and executive actions under the Trump administration have intensified economic pressure on Cuba through oil import restrictions and designations targeting regime officials, while President Trump’s rhetoric has included references to potential military options. Cuban officials have conducted invasion drills and rejected demands that cross sovereignty red lines, yet recent direct talks, including a May 2026 CIA delegation visit to Havana, signal continued diplomatic engagement. U.S. officials have stated that no imminent military action is planned despite Caribbean naval deployments tied to counter-narcotics operations. These developments underpin trader consensus that a full-scale clash remains unlikely this year, with economic coercion and negotiations serving as the primary tools for addressing bilateral tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
거래량
$109,404종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Heightened U.S. sanctions and executive actions under the Trump administration have intensified economic pressure on Cuba through oil import restrictions and designations targeting regime officials, while President Trump’s rhetoric has included references to potential military options. Cuban officials have conducted invasion drills and rejected demands that cross sovereignty red lines, yet recent direct talks, including a May 2026 CIA delegation visit to Havana, signal continued diplomatic engagement. U.S. officials have stated that no imminent military action is planned despite Caribbean naval deployments tied to counter-narcotics operations. These developments underpin trader consensus that a full-scale clash remains unlikely this year, with economic coercion and negotiations serving as the primary tools for addressing bilateral tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$109,404종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened U.S. sanctions and executive actions under the Trump administration have intensified economic pressure on Cuba through oil import restrictions and designations targeting regime officials, while President Trump’s rhetoric has included references to potential military options. Cuban officials have conducted invasion drills and rejected demands that cross sovereignty red lines, yet recent direct talks, including a May 2026 CIA delegation visit to Havana, signal continued diplomatic engagement. U.S. officials have stated that no imminent military action is planned despite Caribbean naval deployments tied to counter-narcotics operations. These developments underpin trader consensus that a full-scale clash remains unlikely this year, with economic coercion and negotiations serving as the primary tools for addressing bilateral tensions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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