Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome. Recent May 2026 polling shows Warner ahead of prospective Republican primary contenders by margins of 25 points or more, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and his established support among key voter groups. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited national Republican investment and Virginia's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages. A major national political shift, unexpected primary results, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Democratic strength.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
93%
Republican
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
$7,930 거래량
93%
Republican
$1,118 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome. Recent May 2026 polling shows Warner ahead of prospective Republican primary contenders by margins of 25 points or more, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and his established support among key voter groups. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited national Republican investment and Virginia's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages. A major national political shift, unexpected primary results, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Democratic strength.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$9,048종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome. Recent May 2026 polling shows Warner ahead of prospective Republican primary contenders by margins of 25 points or more, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and his established support among key voter groups. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited national Republican investment and Virginia's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages. A major national political shift, unexpected primary results, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Democratic strength.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$9,048종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome. Recent May 2026 polling shows Warner ahead of prospective Republican primary contenders by margins of 25 points or more, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and his established support among key voter groups. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited national Republican investment and Virginia's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages. A major national political shift, unexpected primary results, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Democratic strength.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문