Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff voters will decide between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, with early voting underway from May 18–22, anchoring trader consensus at 97.1% against Paxton dropping out. Recent scorched-earth attack ads and fundraising tallies reflect Paxton's sustained campaign momentum, building on his March primary survival despite over $60 million in establishment opposition spending. Absent withdrawal signals or fulfillment of his prior conditional exit tied to SAVE Act passage, and with President Trump's endorsement still pending post-deadline, markets dismiss near-term exit risks. Realistic disruptors remain a strong Trump backing for Cornyn, fresh legal challenges from Paxton's ongoing AG tenure, or unforeseen health events.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.05.25
신규
신규
2026.05.25
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff voters will decide between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, with early voting underway from May 18–22, anchoring trader consensus at 97.1% against Paxton dropping out. Recent scorched-earth attack ads and fundraising tallies reflect Paxton's sustained campaign momentum, building on his March primary survival despite over $60 million in establishment opposition spending. Absent withdrawal signals or fulfillment of his prior conditional exit tied to SAVE Act passage, and with President Trump's endorsement still pending post-deadline, markets dismiss near-term exit risks. Realistic disruptors remain a strong Trump backing for Cornyn, fresh legal challenges from Paxton's ongoing AG tenure, or unforeseen health events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
거래량
$5,869종료일
2026.05.25마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff voters will decide between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, with early voting underway from May 18–22, anchoring trader consensus at 97.1% against Paxton dropping out. Recent scorched-earth attack ads and fundraising tallies reflect Paxton's sustained campaign momentum, building on his March primary survival despite over $60 million in establishment opposition spending. Absent withdrawal signals or fulfillment of his prior conditional exit tied to SAVE Act passage, and with President Trump's endorsement still pending post-deadline, markets dismiss near-term exit risks. Realistic disruptors remain a strong Trump backing for Cornyn, fresh legal challenges from Paxton's ongoing AG tenure, or unforeseen health events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$5,869종료일
2026.05.25마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff voters will decide between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, with early voting underway from May 18–22, anchoring trader consensus at 97.1% against Paxton dropping out. Recent scorched-earth attack ads and fundraising tallies reflect Paxton's sustained campaign momentum, building on his March primary survival despite over $60 million in establishment opposition spending. Absent withdrawal signals or fulfillment of his prior conditional exit tied to SAVE Act passage, and with President Trump's endorsement still pending post-deadline, markets dismiss near-term exit risks. Realistic disruptors remain a strong Trump backing for Cornyn, fresh legal challenges from Paxton's ongoing AG tenure, or unforeseen health events.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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