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icon for Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Świat·Main Election

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

icon for Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Świat·Main Election

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

SDP BiH 37%

SNSD 31%

HDZ BiH 12%

NiP 8%

Polymarket
NOWE

SDP BiH 37%

SNSD 31%

HDZ BiH 12%

NiP 8%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for SDP BiH

SDP BiH

$496 Wol.

37%

icon for SNSD

SNSD

$485 Wol.

42%

icon for HDZ BiH

HDZ BiH

$75 Wol.

14%

icon for NiP

NiP

$99 Wol.

8%

icon for SDA

SDA

$635 Wol.

5%

icon for DF

DF

$124 Wol.

13%

icon for SDS

SDS

$235 Wol.

1%

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).The fragmented multi-party system and ethnic-based voting in Bosnia and Herzegovina keep multiple parties competitive for third place in the October 4 parliamentary election for the state House of Representatives. Proportional representation across constituencies, combined with entity-level dynamics in the Federation and Republika Srpska, sustains close positioning among SNSD, SDP BiH, DF, and others. Recent campaign fines for premature activity and resource misuse, alongside polarized rhetoric following the Ratko Mladic funeral, have added volatility without clear separation. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no dominant contender emerging in the final weeks. Scheduled results and potential coalition signals post-election could still shift implied probabilities for third-place finishers.

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Wolumen
$2,150
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).The fragmented multi-party system and ethnic-based voting in Bosnia and Herzegovina keep multiple parties competitive for third place in the October 4 parliamentary election for the state House of Representatives. Proportional representation across constituencies, combined with entity-level dynamics in the Federation and Republika Srpska, sustains close positioning among SNSD, SDP BiH, DF, and others. Recent campaign fines for premature activity and resource misuse, alongside polarized rhetoric following the Ratko Mladic funeral, have added volatility without clear separation. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no dominant contender emerging in the final weeks. Scheduled results and potential coalition signals post-election could still shift implied probabilities for third-place finishers.

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Wolumen
$2,150
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "SNSD" z 42%, za nim "SDP BiH" z 37%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 42¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 42% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Sep 9, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" jest "SNSD" z 42%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 42% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "SDP BiH" z 37%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.