California's 28th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, with incumbent Judy Chu advancing from the June 2026 primary after securing over 62 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato. Strong Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent past election margins, and the absence of major competitive polling or fundraising shifts have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Historical performance in similar California districts and limited national tailwinds for Republicans further support the current implied probabilities. A significant late scandal, health event for the nominee, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could narrow the gap, though such developments have not materialized in recent cycles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-28 House Election Winner
CA-28 House Election Winner
$138,180 Wol.
$138,180 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$138,180 Wol.
$138,180 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$58,083 Wol.
96%
Republican Party
$80,097 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 28th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, with incumbent Judy Chu advancing from the June 2026 primary after securing over 62 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato. Strong Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent past election margins, and the absence of major competitive polling or fundraising shifts have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Historical performance in similar California districts and limited national tailwinds for Republicans further support the current implied probabilities. A significant late scandal, health event for the nominee, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could narrow the gap, though such developments have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$138,180Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 28th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, with incumbent Judy Chu advancing from the June 2026 primary after securing over 62 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato. Strong Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent past election margins, and the absence of major competitive polling or fundraising shifts have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Historical performance in similar California districts and limited national tailwinds for Republicans further support the current implied probabilities. A significant late scandal, health event for the nominee, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could narrow the gap, though such developments have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$138,180Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 28th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, with incumbent Judy Chu advancing from the June 2026 primary after securing over 62 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato. Strong Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent past election margins, and the absence of major competitive polling or fundraising shifts have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Historical performance in similar California districts and limited national tailwinds for Republicans further support the current implied probabilities. A significant late scandal, health event for the nominee, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could narrow the gap, though such developments have not materialized in recent cycles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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