Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 has shifted CA-27 into a D+6 district by adding Democratic-leaning areas in the northwest San Fernando Valley and removing Republican strongholds, establishing incumbent Democrat George Whitesides as the clear frontrunner against Republican Jason Gibbs. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Gibbs after consolidating most Democratic support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's new partisan voter index and the limited path for Republicans in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-27 House Election Winner
CA-27 House Election Winner
$13,566 Wol.
$13,566 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$13,566 Wol.
$13,566 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,615 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$7,951 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 has shifted CA-27 into a D+6 district by adding Democratic-leaning areas in the northwest San Fernando Valley and removing Republican strongholds, establishing incumbent Democrat George Whitesides as the clear frontrunner against Republican Jason Gibbs. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Gibbs after consolidating most Democratic support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's new partisan voter index and the limited path for Republicans in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,566Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 has shifted CA-27 into a D+6 district by adding Democratic-leaning areas in the northwest San Fernando Valley and removing Republican strongholds, establishing incumbent Democrat George Whitesides as the clear frontrunner against Republican Jason Gibbs. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Gibbs after consolidating most Democratic support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's new partisan voter index and the limited path for Republicans in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$13,566Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 has shifted CA-27 into a D+6 district by adding Democratic-leaning areas in the northwest San Fernando Valley and removing Republican strongholds, establishing incumbent Democrat George Whitesides as the clear frontrunner against Republican Jason Gibbs. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Gibbs after consolidating most Democratic support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's new partisan voter index and the limited path for Republicans in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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