Deep Fission's IPO filing and May 2026 roadshow for a $150–157 million raise at $24–26 per share, targeting up to a $1.66 billion valuation, have shaped trader sentiment around its underground small modular reactor technology. Strong skepticism from analysts and media over the pre-revenue company's speculative profile, prior failed SPAC listing, and commercialization risks has driven the leading <$1.25 billion outcome to 58.1% implied probability. Recent broker pullouts and questions about demand reinforce caution despite DOE pilot program selection and prior funding rounds. The 14.8% chance of no IPO before August 2026 reflects ongoing execution uncertainty in a competitive nuclear energy landscape tied to AI power demand.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDeep Fission IPO Closing Market Cap
Deep Fission IPO Closing Market Cap
<$1.25B 58.1%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.25B–$1.5B 11.1%
$1.75B–$2.0B 5.6%
$19,663 Wol.
$19,663 Wol.
May 29, 2026
<$1.25B
58%
$1.25B–$1.5B
11%
$1.5B–$1.75B
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
6%
$2.0B–$2.5B
3%
$2.5B–$3.0B
9%
$3.0B+
3%
No IPO before August 2026
15%
<$1.25B 58.1%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.25B–$1.5B 11.1%
$1.75B–$2.0B 5.6%
$19,663 Wol.
$19,663 Wol.
May 29, 2026
<$1.25B
$1,239 Wol.
58%
$1.25B–$1.5B
$787 Wol.
11%
$1.5B–$1.75B
$9,660 Wol.
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
$4,372 Wol.
6%
$2.0B–$2.5B
$815 Wol.
3%
$2.5B–$3.0B
$619 Wol.
9%
$3.0B+
$734 Wol.
3%
No IPO before August 2026
$1,457 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Deep Fission's IPO filing and May 2026 roadshow for a $150–157 million raise at $24–26 per share, targeting up to a $1.66 billion valuation, have shaped trader sentiment around its underground small modular reactor technology. Strong skepticism from analysts and media over the pre-revenue company's speculative profile, prior failed SPAC listing, and commercialization risks has driven the leading <$1.25 billion outcome to 58.1% implied probability. Recent broker pullouts and questions about demand reinforce caution despite DOE pilot program selection and prior funding rounds. The 14.8% chance of no IPO before August 2026 reflects ongoing execution uncertainty in a competitive nuclear energy landscape tied to AI power demand.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,663Data zakończenia
May 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Deep Fission's IPO filing and May 2026 roadshow for a $150–157 million raise at $24–26 per share, targeting up to a $1.66 billion valuation, have shaped trader sentiment around its underground small modular reactor technology. Strong skepticism from analysts and media over the pre-revenue company's speculative profile, prior failed SPAC listing, and commercialization risks has driven the leading <$1.25 billion outcome to 58.1% implied probability. Recent broker pullouts and questions about demand reinforce caution despite DOE pilot program selection and prior funding rounds. The 14.8% chance of no IPO before August 2026 reflects ongoing execution uncertainty in a competitive nuclear energy landscape tied to AI power demand.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$19,663Data zakończenia
May 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Deep Fission's IPO filing and May 2026 roadshow for a $150–157 million raise at $24–26 per share, targeting up to a $1.66 billion valuation, have shaped trader sentiment around its underground small modular reactor technology. Strong skepticism from analysts and media over the pre-revenue company's speculative profile, prior failed SPAC listing, and commercialization risks has driven the leading <$1.25 billion outcome to 58.1% implied probability. Recent broker pullouts and questions about demand reinforce caution despite DOE pilot program selection and prior funding rounds. The 14.8% chance of no IPO before August 2026 reflects ongoing execution uncertainty in a competitive nuclear energy landscape tied to AI power demand.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania