Discord's January 2026 confidential SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters has yet to advance to a public S-1, leaving the June 30, 2026 deadline for an IPO increasingly tight and driving the 79% market-implied probability of no listing. Secondary-market indications now peg the company at roughly $7–10 billion, well below its 2021 peak of $14.7 billion, amid 2024 revenue near $725 million and broader caution toward unprofitable growth stocks. This valuation reset, combined with the absence of fresh macroeconomic tailwinds or regulatory milestones, underpins trader consensus that any near-term debut would likely resolve below $15 billion if it materializes at all before the cutoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
Brak debiutu giełdowego do 30 czerwca 2026 80%
<15 mld 5.8%
15–20 mld 4.1%
25–30 mld 3.8%
$893,958 Wol.
$893,958 Wol.
<15 mld
6%
15–20 mld
4%
20–25 mld
1%
25–30 mld
4%
30 mld+
1%
Brak debiutu giełdowego do 30 czerwca 2026
80%
Brak debiutu giełdowego do 30 czerwca 2026 80%
<15 mld 5.8%
15–20 mld 4.1%
25–30 mld 3.8%
$893,958 Wol.
$893,958 Wol.
<15 mld
6%
15–20 mld
4%
20–25 mld
1%
25–30 mld
4%
30 mld+
1%
Brak debiutu giełdowego do 30 czerwca 2026
80%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Discord's January 2026 confidential SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters has yet to advance to a public S-1, leaving the June 30, 2026 deadline for an IPO increasingly tight and driving the 79% market-implied probability of no listing. Secondary-market indications now peg the company at roughly $7–10 billion, well below its 2021 peak of $14.7 billion, amid 2024 revenue near $725 million and broader caution toward unprofitable growth stocks. This valuation reset, combined with the absence of fresh macroeconomic tailwinds or regulatory milestones, underpins trader consensus that any near-term debut would likely resolve below $15 billion if it materializes at all before the cutoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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