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Wybory·Irlandia

Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election

icon for Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election
Wybory·Irlandia

Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election

Daniel Ennis 70%

Janice Boylan 22.3%

Gerry Hutch 9.2%

Janet Horner 2.0%

Polymarket

$1,087,311 Wol.

Daniel Ennis 70%

Janice Boylan 22.3%

Gerry Hutch 9.2%

Janet Horner 2.0%

Polymarket

$1,087,311 Wol.

Daniel Ennis

$33,324 Wol.

70%

Janice Boylan

$17,884 Wol.

22%

Gerry Hutch

$508,746 Wol.

9%

Janet Horner

$13,848 Wol.

2%

Ray McAdam

$34,450 Wol.

2%

Malachy Steenson

$21,001 Wol.

1%

Gillian Sherratt

$182,749 Wol.

1%

Ian Noel Smyth

$13,515 Wol.

<1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$53,116 Wol.

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$9,470 Wol.

<1%

Mary Fitzpatrick

$45,266 Wol.

<1%

John Stephens

$153,944 Wol.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis leads trader consensus in the Dublin Central by-election due to his favorable position in Ireland’s PR-STV transfer system, where second-preference flows from left-leaning and independent voters are expected to prove decisive. A recent Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan narrowly ahead on first preferences at 21 percent to Ennis’s 18 percent, with Gerry Hutch at 14 percent and Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam at 13 percent, yet analysts highlight Ennis’s stronger cross-party appeal rooted in his North Strand background and focus on housing and community safety. Hutch’s independent campaign remains constrained by longstanding criminal associations, limiting broader transfer support ahead of the May 22 poll. The market reflects these dynamics rather than raw first-preference shares.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Wolumen
$1,087,311
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis leads trader consensus in the Dublin Central by-election due to his favorable position in Ireland’s PR-STV transfer system, where second-preference flows from left-leaning and independent voters are expected to prove decisive. A recent Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan narrowly ahead on first preferences at 21 percent to Ennis’s 18 percent, with Gerry Hutch at 14 percent and Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam at 13 percent, yet analysts highlight Ennis’s stronger cross-party appeal rooted in his North Strand background and focus on housing and community safety. Hutch’s independent campaign remains constrained by longstanding criminal associations, limiting broader transfer support ahead of the May 22 poll. The market reflects these dynamics rather than raw first-preference shares.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Wolumen
$1,087,311
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 12 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Daniel Ennis" z 70%, za nim "Janice Boylan" z 22%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 70¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 70% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election" wygenerował $1.1 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 20, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election", przeglądaj 12 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election" jest "Daniel Ennis" z 70%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 70% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Janice Boylan" z 22%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.