Trump's recent endorsement of Catalina Lauf has consolidated trader consensus around her nomination in the August 18, 2026 Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District, boosting her implied probability to 82.5% amid endorsements from figures including Reps. Greg Steube and Kat Cammack plus support from a Rand Paul-aligned PAC. Earlier polling showed a close contest with local broadcaster Jim Schwartzel, who holds 14.6% in the market, but the late-cycle national backing appears to have shifted momentum in the crowded field that includes former Reps. Jim Oberweis and Madison Cawthorn. The primary resolves the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing indicating limited room for late reversals absent major developments before voting concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCatalina Lauf 83%
Jim Schwartzel 14.6%
Jim Oberweis 1.9%
Madison Cawthorn <1%
$79,191 Wol.
$79,191 Wol.
Catalina Lauf
83%
Jim Schwartzel
15%
Jim Oberweis
2%
Madison Cawthorn
<1%
Bob Rommel
<1%
Spencer Roach
<1%
Catalina Lauf 83%
Jim Schwartzel 14.6%
Jim Oberweis 1.9%
Madison Cawthorn <1%
$79,191 Wol.
$79,191 Wol.
Catalina Lauf
83%
Jim Schwartzel
15%
Jim Oberweis
2%
Madison Cawthorn
<1%
Bob Rommel
<1%
Spencer Roach
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump's recent endorsement of Catalina Lauf has consolidated trader consensus around her nomination in the August 18, 2026 Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District, boosting her implied probability to 82.5% amid endorsements from figures including Reps. Greg Steube and Kat Cammack plus support from a Rand Paul-aligned PAC. Earlier polling showed a close contest with local broadcaster Jim Schwartzel, who holds 14.6% in the market, but the late-cycle national backing appears to have shifted momentum in the crowded field that includes former Reps. Jim Oberweis and Madison Cawthorn. The primary resolves the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing indicating limited room for late reversals absent major developments before voting concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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