Trader consensus has fully aligned on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on May 15, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum reading for that date. Subtropical May climatology in the region routinely produces daytime peaks between 26°C and 29°C under typical southwesterly flow and high humidity, and the verified observation falls squarely within this historical range without triggering any anomalous heat advisories. With the observational period now closed, the market-implied probability of 100% for 27°C incorporates full certainty from ground-based measurements, while the 0.1% odds on all other outcomes account only for the remote possibility of a post-analysis data correction or station-specific adjustment. No new forecast updates or model revisions can alter the settled outcome at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$299,226 Wol.
$299,226 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$299,226 Wol.
$299,226 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$4,064 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,783 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,744 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,482 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,031 Wol.
No
24°C
$6,437 Wol.
No
25°C
$30,568 Wol.
No
26°C
$69,255 Wol.
No
27°C
$91,997 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$45,732 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$37,135 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has fully aligned on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on May 15, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum reading for that date. Subtropical May climatology in the region routinely produces daytime peaks between 26°C and 29°C under typical southwesterly flow and high humidity, and the verified observation falls squarely within this historical range without triggering any anomalous heat advisories. With the observational period now closed, the market-implied probability of 100% for 27°C incorporates full certainty from ground-based measurements, while the 0.1% odds on all other outcomes account only for the remote possibility of a post-analysis data correction or station-specific adjustment. No new forecast updates or model revisions can alter the settled outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$299,226Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has fully aligned on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on May 15, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum reading for that date. Subtropical May climatology in the region routinely produces daytime peaks between 26°C and 29°C under typical southwesterly flow and high humidity, and the verified observation falls squarely within this historical range without triggering any anomalous heat advisories. With the observational period now closed, the market-implied probability of 100% for 27°C incorporates full certainty from ground-based measurements, while the 0.1% odds on all other outcomes account only for the remote possibility of a post-analysis data correction or station-specific adjustment. No new forecast updates or model revisions can alter the settled outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$299,226Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus has fully aligned on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on May 15, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum reading for that date. Subtropical May climatology in the region routinely produces daytime peaks between 26°C and 29°C under typical southwesterly flow and high humidity, and the verified observation falls squarely within this historical range without triggering any anomalous heat advisories. With the observational period now closed, the market-implied probability of 100% for 27°C incorporates full certainty from ground-based measurements, while the 0.1% odds on all other outcomes account only for the remote possibility of a post-analysis data correction or station-specific adjustment. No new forecast updates or model revisions can alter the settled outcome at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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