Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and major models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Bavaria on September 19, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and daytime highs of 22–23°C in Munich. This consensus aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 23°C (63.5%) and 22°C (24.5%), reflecting modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C without reaching the 24–25°C thresholds that would require stronger subsidence or a warmer air mass. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with precipitation risk near zero and no significant steering changes expected before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 19?
23°C 64%
22°C 26%
24°C 10%
21°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
26%
23°C
64%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 64%
22°C 26%
24°C 10%
21°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
20°C
$96 Wol.
2%
21°C
$303 Wol.
3%
22°C
$1,147 Wol.
26%
23°C
$973 Wol.
64%
24°C
$440 Wol.
10%
25°C
$210 Wol.
2%
26°C
$36 Wol.
1%
27°C
$267 Wol.
1%
28°C
$169 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$169 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and major models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Bavaria on September 19, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and daytime highs of 22–23°C in Munich. This consensus aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 23°C (63.5%) and 22°C (24.5%), reflecting modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C without reaching the 24–25°C thresholds that would require stronger subsidence or a warmer air mass. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with precipitation risk near zero and no significant steering changes expected before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,810Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and major models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Bavaria on September 19, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and daytime highs of 22–23°C in Munich. This consensus aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 23°C (63.5%) and 22°C (24.5%), reflecting modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C without reaching the 24–25°C thresholds that would require stronger subsidence or a warmer air mass. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with precipitation risk near zero and no significant steering changes expected before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,810Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and major models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Bavaria on September 19, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and daytime highs of 22–23°C in Munich. This consensus aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 23°C (63.5%) and 22°C (24.5%), reflecting modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C without reaching the 24–25°C thresholds that would require stronger subsidence or a warmer air mass. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with precipitation risk near zero and no significant steering changes expected before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania