Recent forecast guidance and Panama’s wet-season climatology position daily maxima near 31–32 °C, producing closely matched implied probabilities as traders weigh the narrow margin between those bins. Afternoon convection typical of the Intertropical Convergence Zone often develops by midday, with cloud cover and showers limiting insolation and triggering evaporative cooling that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Historical INAMEH records show June maxima clustering between 29–32 °C, where small differences in thunderstorm timing and coverage determine the final high. Updated model runs this week show modest variability in convective initiation, keeping uncertainty elevated until late-day observations confirm the actual peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on June 14?
32°C 47%
31°C 40%
30°C 11%
33°C 3.6%
$13,909 Wol.
$13,909 Wol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
11%
31°C
40%
32°C
47%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
31°C 40%
30°C 11%
33°C 3.6%
$13,909 Wol.
$13,909 Wol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
11%
31°C
40%
32°C
47%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance and Panama’s wet-season climatology position daily maxima near 31–32 °C, producing closely matched implied probabilities as traders weigh the narrow margin between those bins. Afternoon convection typical of the Intertropical Convergence Zone often develops by midday, with cloud cover and showers limiting insolation and triggering evaporative cooling that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Historical INAMEH records show June maxima clustering between 29–32 °C, where small differences in thunderstorm timing and coverage determine the final high. Updated model runs this week show modest variability in convective initiation, keeping uncertainty elevated until late-day observations confirm the actual peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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