Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a marine layer capping San Francisco highs near or slightly below seasonal normals around 70°F at KSFO on August 19, with traders favoring the 70-71°F and 72-73°F brackets due to persistent onshore flow and stratus. The strength of the marine inversion and timing of any afternoon clearing differentiate outcomes, as stronger sea breezes and cloud cover suppress warming while weaker gradients or earlier dissipation allow modest exceedance of 72°F. Historical August maxima average near 70°F, and short-range ensembles show low odds for 76°F+ absent anomalous offshore influences. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 19?
70-71°F 32%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 32%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
65°F or below
$191 Wol.
1%
66-67°F
$339 Wol.
6%
68-69°F
$189 Wol.
14%
70-71°F
$157 Wol.
32%
72-73°F
$246 Wol.
28%
74-75°F
$361 Wol.
15%
76-77°F
$205 Wol.
6%
78-79°F
$316 Wol.
1%
80-81°F
$347 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$20 Wol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$25 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a marine layer capping San Francisco highs near or slightly below seasonal normals around 70°F at KSFO on August 19, with traders favoring the 70-71°F and 72-73°F brackets due to persistent onshore flow and stratus. The strength of the marine inversion and timing of any afternoon clearing differentiate outcomes, as stronger sea breezes and cloud cover suppress warming while weaker gradients or earlier dissipation allow modest exceedance of 72°F. Historical August maxima average near 70°F, and short-range ensembles show low odds for 76°F+ absent anomalous offshore influences. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,396Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a marine layer capping San Francisco highs near or slightly below seasonal normals around 70°F at KSFO on August 19, with traders favoring the 70-71°F and 72-73°F brackets due to persistent onshore flow and stratus. The strength of the marine inversion and timing of any afternoon clearing differentiate outcomes, as stronger sea breezes and cloud cover suppress warming while weaker gradients or earlier dissipation allow modest exceedance of 72°F. Historical August maxima average near 70°F, and short-range ensembles show low odds for 76°F+ absent anomalous offshore influences. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,396Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a marine layer capping San Francisco highs near or slightly below seasonal normals around 70°F at KSFO on August 19, with traders favoring the 70-71°F and 72-73°F brackets due to persistent onshore flow and stratus. The strength of the marine inversion and timing of any afternoon clearing differentiate outcomes, as stronger sea breezes and cloud cover suppress warming while weaker gradients or earlier dissipation allow modest exceedance of 72°F. Historical August maxima average near 70°F, and short-range ensembles show low odds for 76°F+ absent anomalous offshore influences. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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