Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 18 will most likely peak near 27°C, driving the 34.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary support for 26°C and 28°C. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta typically produces highs of 24–27°C, placing current projections squarely within seasonal norms yet sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover. Official China Meteorological Administration observations and any final model runs issued in the next 24 hours will determine resolution, with traders weighting real-time data over longer-range uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
27°C 35%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
29°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
22%
27°C
35%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 35%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
29°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$869 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$499 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$699 Wol.
1%
24°C
$1,015 Wol.
3%
25°C
$1,093 Wol.
9%
26°C
$685 Wol.
22%
27°C
$390 Wol.
35%
28°C
$632 Wol.
24%
29°C
$750 Wol.
11%
30°C
$471 Wol.
3%
31°C or higher
$744 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 18 will most likely peak near 27°C, driving the 34.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary support for 26°C and 28°C. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta typically produces highs of 24–27°C, placing current projections squarely within seasonal norms yet sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover. Official China Meteorological Administration observations and any final model runs issued in the next 24 hours will determine resolution, with traders weighting real-time data over longer-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,825Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 18 will most likely peak near 27°C, driving the 34.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary support for 26°C and 28°C. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta typically produces highs of 24–27°C, placing current projections squarely within seasonal norms yet sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover. Official China Meteorological Administration observations and any final model runs issued in the next 24 hours will determine resolution, with traders weighting real-time data over longer-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$7,825Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 18 will most likely peak near 27°C, driving the 34.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary support for 26°C and 28°C. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta typically produces highs of 24–27°C, placing current projections squarely within seasonal norms yet sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover. Official China Meteorological Administration observations and any final model runs issued in the next 24 hours will determine resolution, with traders weighting real-time data over longer-range uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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